Pac-10 Snap Judgments
I’m not making them. I am telling people to calm down and remember there is a lot of football left to play.
Oregon was all but written off after losing on the road in game one to a ranked team. Now they are 2-1 and look nothing like they did in game one.
Oregon State is 2-1 and lost to Cincinnati. And people are already forgetting how many times in recent years that they started out about the same and finished with nine or 10 wins, a bowl win, and top 25 rankings.
USC lost to Washington and is now 2-1, and I hear they are overrated. Except how many years now have they lost early and finished 11-1 and still won the Pac 10?
Washington is 2-1 after upsetting USC. While they are for sure improved over last year and the upset win is big, don’t go claiming the Pac-10 title just yet. Five teams that beat the Trojans in Pac 10 play never won the conference.
Cal is the team to beat in the Pac 10? Yeah, you could say they have looked good so far but who have they played? Maryland who just lost to Middle Tennessee for the second year in a row, Eastern Washington from FCS, and Minnesota who needed overtime to beat Syracuse, a team that went 3-9 last season.
No it isn’t happening again. What I mean is, the conference may finally get what they wanted when they did expand and have Miami in the title game.
The Hurricanes have looked really good against a couple of tough opponents. If they can keep it up they could be playing at home for a BCS game, or more.
Coaching Hot Seat
Someone cooled Dan Hawkins seat at Colorado, but not much, with the Buffs win over Wyoming.
Al Groh at Virginia however is over a volcano of a hot seat. Not only are the Cavaliers 0-3 but the three losses are to an FCS school and two schools from non auto qualifiers.
I know that each is around the top of their respective levels but that doesn’t matter. At the way the schedule is shaping up, Virginia will likely be lucky to have more than two wins at the end of the season. And if that’s the case Groh would be lucky to still have a job.
Cincinnati to Repeat as Big East Champs
It is possible. They already have a 1-0 record in conference and the win is over a preseason favorite, Rutgers. Now they have a solid non-conference win over Oregon State on the road.
Oregon State is a solid Pac 10 team that has finished in the upper half of the conference, with nine or more wins, three bowl wins in a row and top 25 rankings to finish the season for three years straight as well.
Busting the BCS
I am still not quite ready to eliminate teams after one loss but I know it certainly makes it tougher. At this point I think all talks of a shot at the national championship for any team outside the Big Six conferences are done.
BYU and Utah both lost this weekend but BYU is still in a good position to climb back into consideration provided TCU, Houston and Boise were to lose somewhere along the way.
My FCS vs. FBS
So far, my 16 games that I wrote about prior to the season I was calling it a record of 10-0 since the FCS team I warned about won or lost by one possession.
Unfortunately my record takes a hit this week.
Wisconsin easily handled Wofford. I thought they might have a chance as they were 9-3 last season and played South Carolina tough. Wisconsin also escaped an upset last season so I though maybe they would be vulnerable. Oh well.
Memphis also took care of UT Martin with ease. UT Martin had a good offense like I thought they would. They gained over 400 yards of offense. Memphis just gained more.
From the MAC, Ohio was able to beat Cal Poly. This one was closer than the other two played but still enough to call it a bad call on my part.
I did get one right in Central Arkansas over Western Kentucky. It actually wasn’t even close as Central Arkansas won 28-7.
Well that brings my record to 11-3.