Dave's College Football Pick ATS: 9/19/09 Utah State at Texas A&M

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Dave's College Football Pick ATS: 9/19/09 Utah State at Texas A&M
(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Texas A&M (1-0) vs. Utah State (0-1)

Line: Texas A&M -19.5

Texas A&M was all over New Mexico in week one, winning 41-6. The Aggies outplayed the Lobos in every area. You can't ask for more than 606 yards of total offense including 349 yards passing.

Jerrod Johnson was 31 of 41 passing including two touchdowns. He ran for 57 yards and another score to add to his outstanding day. New Mexico finished with a laughable 24 rushing yards as the A&M defense shut them down.

Utah State hung with Utah for 30 minutes, entering halftime down just 26-17. The new spread offense was effective, especially on the ground.

The passing game however, never got going and Utah State lost 35-17. Quarterback Diondre Borel was just 10-26 passing for 121 yards and tossed an interception. After struggling early against a good Utah offense, the Utah State did buckle down in the second half.

Texas A&M is 12-0 against the WAC and that will likely move to 13-0 this Saturday. Both teams covered the spread in their opening game and both teams were idle last week.

The advantage in having an idle week probably goes to A&M as they are preparing for the Utah spread offense. However, I do expect Utah State to be able to have some success on offense and this is a large number to cover.

Utah State is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games. Utah State is 8-4 against the number in their last 12 road games. Texas A&M is 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games at home. 

If Utah State can find a way to have some success in the passing game, they could make this a very close game at the end. I'll take the points.

Dave's Pick: Utah State +19.5

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