Dave's Free Pick ATS: 09/12/09 Arkansas State at No. 22 Nebraska

dave darbySenior Analyst ISeptember 10, 2009

AUSTIN, TX - OCTOBER 27:  Tierre Green #30 of the Nebraska Cornhuskers stands on the field during the game against the Texas Longhorns at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium October 27, 2007 in Austin, Texas. Texas won 28-25. (Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)

Arkansas State (1-0) at #22 Nebraska (1-0)

Line: Nebraska -23

At first glance this looks like a huge mismatch and the public may very well move this line higher. Arkansas State is not one to take lightly however. In week one the Red Wolves put a 61-0 thumping to Mississippi Valley State. The Red Wolves put up 496 yards which included 358 on the ground. Reggie Arnold went for 128 yards rushing and four touchdowns. The defense gave up just 69 total yards which is ridiculous.

Nebraska also had an easy time last week in beating Florida Atlantic 49-3. The Cornhuskers averaged 8.1 yards per carry and 259 yards on the ground. Starting quarterback Zac Lee had 213 yards passing in 22 attempts before leaving the game when it got out of hand. Nebraska did allow 358 total yards with zero sacks, so there is some concern regarding the blackshirts.

This game may have snuck up on Nebraska a bit more if their opponent hadn't won 61-0 in their opener. There also is the matter of Arkansas State's game against Texas A&M last season which you may remember was won by the Red Wolves 18-14. Nebraska's next game is on the road against Virgina Tech, which may be a bit of a distraction. I don't look for a repeat of last years Texas A&M game, but I look for some folks to be surprised at how hard Arkansas State makes Nebraska work for this one.

Dave's Pick: Arkansas State +23