Forego and Woodward Analysis
The Grade One Forego is the kind of race that fans and bettors absolutely love. This seven furlong race at Saratoga is completely puzzling on so many levels.
I see very little speed in this race. Horses like Riley Tucker, Driven by Success and Multidude have shown flashes of it but nothing beyond that.
Kodiak Kowboy will be the heavy favorite despite a mediocre performance last time out at Saratoga. If the betting line goes down to 2-1, I see no value at all.
Pyro is starting for just the second time in nearly 11 months but I don't think he has any chance despite having John Velazquez aboard. No wins in four starts at Saratoga is enough for me.
Ready's Echo is a very intriguing horse. Calvin Borel is aboard and the blinkers are off for this talented horse. I also like the two for two record at sevent furlongs.
I really like the 30-1 morning line longshot Mutlidude. His last race at Saratoga was incredibly impressive. The class jump is heavy but I think he can hit the board.
The winner of this race is going to be Law Enforcement. He covered 6 1/2 furlongs in 1:14 and change over Saratoga in early August.
Law Enforcement, Ready's Echo and Multidude.
As a true fan of horse racing, it's extremely disappointing to see Rachel Alexandra in this race and not the Travers.
The Travers was a more intriguing distance and the field was better but Steve Asmussen and ownership decided to play it "safe" and pick the Woodward.
The simple fact is this: If Rachel Alexandra runs well, she'll win by 10 lengths and this will be a boring race. She's not just a great filly but she's a great horse.
Since I like a longshot in the Forego, I'll be using her in my doubles with Law Enforcement but I'm also going to use a few horses in the Woodward as well.
I don't see any other horse in the Woodward that likes to run at the front end. If no other horse presses her, she will run six furlongs in 1:09 and never be touched in the stretch by Calvin Borel.
Da'Tara seems the one horse that could press her but based on his last start, don't expect much from this horse.
Bullsbay is one for one at Saratoga and coming off a very good win in the Whitney. I love the six furlong work last week in 1:14. This is a very dangerous horse despite the 10 pounds he's adding.
I'm going to pick Macho Again to "win."
I think Da'Tara and Rachel Alexandra will set the early pace.
I think Past the Point will begin to make a move around the six furlong pole and challenge both horses.
Da'Tara will begin to back up but Rachel Alexandra will not.
As they reach the top of the stretch, the crowd will roar as Rachel Alexandra will have the lead with Past the Point behind her.
Macho Again will be flying on the outside and pass both horses and beat them by a narrow margin.
Macho Again, Rachel Alexandra, and Past the Point.
If the race sets up anywhere close to what I think will happen, this race actually be exciting and a large daily double could be had.
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