D-1 Crystal Ball Doesn't See a Champion

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D-1 Crystal Ball Doesn't See a Champion
(Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

The Florida Gators will not win the national championship in football this year.
Nor will the Texas Longhorns.
Or the USC Trojans.

Or the unbeaten Penn State Nittany Lions. It'll be up to the writers to stop the "Curse of Joe Paterno."

Nor any of the 116 other teams in Division I-A.

Because there's no such thing.

Oklahoma and Florida will tussle in the last non-all-star game of the season, and one will declare itself "national champion," but grumbles from Pennsylvania to the Paloose will underscore, once again, that a playoff is needed.

Not an "NFL-style" playoff, whatever that is, but a college playoff, like what the NCAA does in the divisions that crown an actual champion.

Paterno will have perhaps the best case—Penn State will win all 12, but won't get to Pasadena this year.

Here's my league-by-league breakdown of what'll happen in this college season, and who'll spend their holidays where. I use an asterisk (*) to indicate the winner of a conference title game.



Atlantic Coast Conference    
 
          Atlantic Division
Florida St. 7-1, 9-4
Maryland 6-2, 9-3
North Carolina St. 5-3, 9-3
Boston College 5-3, 8-4
Clemson 3-5, 6-6
Wake Forest 2-6, 6-6

Coastal Division
Virginia Tech      8-0, 11-2*
Miami FL 5-3, 8-4
Georgia Tech 4-4, 7-5
North Carolina 3-5, 6-6
Virginia 2-6, 5-7
Duke 0-8, 3-9


Big 10
Penn State 8-0, 12-0
Ohio State 7-1, 11-1
Wisconsin 6-2, 10-2
Purdue 5-3, 6-6
Iowa 4-4, 8-4
Michigan St. 4-4, 7-5
Minnesota 4-4, 6-6
Michigan 3-5, 6-6
Illinois 3-5, 6-6
Northwestern 1-7, 5-7
Indiana 0-8, 2-10

Big 12
North Division
Nebraska 7-1, 11-2
Kansas 4-4, 8-4
Missouri 4-4, 6-6
Kansas St. 3-5, 6-6
Colorado 1-7, 4-8
Iowa St. 1-7, 3-9

Oklahoma 7-1, 12-1*
Oklahoma St. 7-1, 11-1
Texas 7-1, 11-1
Texas Tech 4-4, 8-4
Texas A&M 4-4, 7-5
Baylor 1-7, 3-9


Big East
West Virginia 7-0, 11-1
Louisville 6-1, 10-2
Pittsburgh 5-2, 8-4
Rutgers 4-3, 8-4
Connecticut 3-4, 7-5
Cincinnati 2-5, 5-7
South Florida 1-6, 5-7
Syracuse 1-6, 4-8

Conference USA

East Division
Southern Miss 7-1, 10-3*
Central Florida 6-2, 8-4
East Carolina 6-2, 7-5
Marshall 4-4, 7-5
Memphis 3-5, 5-7
Alabama-Birmingham 2-6, 3-9


West Division
UTEP 6-2, 8-5
Tulsa  6-2, 7-5
Houston 4-4, 5-7
SMU 2-6, 3-9
Rice 1-7, 1-11
Tulane 1-7, 2-10


  Mid-American Conference

East Division
Buffalo 7-1, 9-4
Akron 5-3, 7-5
Ohio U. 5-3, 6-6
Miami OH 5-3, 5-7
Kent St. 2-6, 3-9
Bowling Green 1-7, 2-10
Temple 1-7, 3-9

West Division
Central Michigan 8-0, 10-3*
Ball St. 6-2, 9-3
Northern Illinois 3-5, 5-7
Toledo 3-5, 5-7
Eastern Michigan 3-5, 4-8
Western Michigan 2-6, 4-8

Mountain West
Brigham Young 8-0, 11-1
TCU 7-1, 9-3
Utah 6-2, 9-3
New Mexico 4-4, 6-6
Colorado St. 3-5, 5-7
Air Force 3-5, 5-7
UNLV 2-6, 4-8
San Diego St. 1-7, 4-8
Wyoming 1-7, 3-9

Pacific-10
Oregon 8-1, 10-2
Southern Cal 8-1, 10-2
California 7-2, 10-2
Oregon St. 5-4, 8-4
Arizona St. 5-4, 7-5
Arizona 4-5, 6-6
UCLA 3-6, 5-7
Stanford 2-7, 3-9
Washington 2-7, 3-9
Washington St. 1-8, 2-10

Southeastern Conference
Eastern Division
Florida 7-1, 12-1*
Georgia 6-2, 8-4
Tennessee 4-4, 8-4
Kentucky 3-5, 6-6
Vanderbilt 2-6, 6-6
South Carolina 2-6, 5-7


Western Division
Mississippi 7-1, 11-2
Alabama 6-2, 9-3
Arkansas 4-4, 8-4
LSU 4-4, 8-4
Auburn 3-5, 7-5
Mississippi St. 0-8, 2-10


Sun Belt
Arkansas St. 8-0, 9-3
Troy 7-1, 8-4
North Texas 6-2, 8-4
Middle Tennessee St. 4-4, 6-6
Florida Atlantic 4-4, 5-7
Florida Int'l 4-4, 4-8
Louisiana-Lafayette 2-6, 4-8
Louisiana-Monroe 1-7, 2-10
Western Kentucky 0-8, 1-11

Western Athletic Conference
Boise St 8-0, 13-0
Nevada 7-1, 10-2
Fresno St 6-2, 7-5
Hawai`i 4-4, 6-7
San José St 3-5, 4-8
Louisiana Tech 3-5, 5-7
Idaho 2-6, 2-10
New Mexico St 1-7, 3-10
Utah St 1-7, 2-10

Independents
Notre Dame  11-1

Navy 9-4

Army 2-10



BOWLS
I use the pecking order described at cbssports.com and make adjustments to avoid regular season rematches or rematches of bowl games last year.

Dec. 19    St. Petersburg: Rutgers vs. Central Florida
Dec. 19    New Mexico: New Mexico vs. Fresno St.
Dec. 20    New Orleans: Arkansas St.  vs. East Carolina
Dec. 22    Las Vegas: Arizona St.  vs. Brigham Young
Dec. 23    Poinsettia: Utah vs. Oregon St.
Dec. 24    Hawaii: Nevada vs. Marshall
Dec. 26    Emerald: Boston College  vs. Arizona
Dec. 26    Meineke Car Care: North Carolina St. vs. Pittsburgh
Dec. 26    Motor City: Central Michigan vs. Michigan
Dec. 27    Music City Vanderbilt  vs. Georgia Tech
Dec. 28    Independence Kansas St. vs. Kentucky
Dec. 29    Champs Sports Miami FL vs. Iowa
Dec. 29    EagleBank Minnesota vs. North Carolina
Dec. 30    Holiday Southern Cal vs. Nebraska
Dec. 30    Texas Missouri vs. Navy*
Dec. 30    Humanitarian Illinois vs. Troy
Dec. 31    Chick-fil-A Auburn vs. Florida St.
Dec. 31    Insight Michigan St. vs. Texas A&M
Dec. 31    Sun California vs. Connecticut
Dec. 31    Armed Forces TCU vs. UTEP
Jan. 1    Sugar Mississippi vs. Penn State
Jan. 1    Rose Oregon  vs. Notre Dame
Jan. 1    Gator Maryland  vs. Kansas
Jan. 1    Capital One Ohio State  vs. Alabama
Jan. 1    Outback Wisconsin vs. Georgia
Jan. 2    Alamo Purdue vs. Texas Tech
Jan. 2    Liberty Southern Miss  vs. Tennessee
Jan. 2    Cotton Oklahoma St.  vs. LSU
Jan. 2    Papajohns.com Louisville vs. Arkansas
Jan. 2    International Rutgers vs. Buffalo
Jan. 4    Fiesta Texas vs. Boise St
Jan. 5    Orange Virginia Tech vs. West Virginia
Jan. 6    GMAC Ball St. vs. Clemson
Jan. 7    BCS Title Oklahoma  vs.Florida

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