Some say "Defense wins championships".
Some say "He who hesitates is lost".
Some also say "Early bird gets the worm".
Heck, Some even say "I'm not a fantasy expert but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night"...well maybe that's just what I say.
What I did learn over my free continental breakfast is that these sayings exist for a reason. Somewhere in life they have their relevancy.
I say hesitate a little, procrastinate a little...heck even vacillate a little.
Most fantasy owners would say that teams like the Ravens, and Pittsburgh are among the top defenses year in and year out. I think the following may shock you.
Over the last three years, there have only been two teams that have held a top five position two years in a row. The Bears and the Chargers, both in 2006 and 2007.
2008 ushered in five new top defenses. What that says is, there are always three or four surprise defenses that rise to the top...just like the proverbial "cream".
I have no doubt that there are a few elite defenses that almost necessitate being picked a round or two early, worm eaters rejoice. There are just too many variables to decide when is the right time and which one is the right pick.
So for those who don't want to jump the gun at the cost of a running back handcuff or a possible breakout sleeper. I've discovered a less risky option.
When picking a defense I look first at bye week. But not for the reason you think. I want a defense with a bye week somewhere around weeks 6-8. Why you ask? Oohh, great question and I'm glad to see your paying attention.
By week six or so, the defensive scoring scene starts to clarify and the true fantasy defenses emerge. Of course since you followed my advice and picked a defense with a week six bye, wouldn't you know it you need a defense. If your really good at what you do you are already holding a defensive dark horse.
If you are like most of us, you played "a beer a round" on draft night and it was your second league draft. So when your pick came up you slurred something like "Du ah trotly lob u an". Only instead of "Dude I totally love you man", your commissioner heard Detroit Lions.
So now it's time to really focus that blurred vision and find your franchise defense for the rest of the year.
As the scheduling gods would have it, many of the defenses that are predicted for fantasy success have bye weeks early in the year so there is a good chance that those will be available in free agency. Snatch one up and ride the defensive wave all the way to the championship.
Assuming, of course, you didn't play two beers a round, in which case you probably can't read this anyway.