5 Days Until A Nevada Upset? Notre Dame Kicks Off 2009

Jonathan Kitchens by Contributor Written on August 31, 2009
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Five days, 16 hours, and eight minutes (roughly) from when I write this, Notre Dame and Nevada will kick off the pigskin to continue one of the best traditions yet invented by man: college football.

For months we have waited tensely, teams gauging each other against past years, future years, down years and up year.  Fans have analyzed their teams, their opponents, and their recruits.  We have gone through the what ifs, the can we-s, and the should we-s. Now its time for fans to buckle up.  Its going to be a bumpy ride.

Saturday, for Notre Dame, this ride begins with Nevada.  The Pack is coming to South Bend and they have something to prove.  They want to be this year's Boise State, they want to be the dominant team in the WAC and they want to bust the BCS wide open.  But none of that happens if they lose to Notre Dame.  They need this upset.  Its tough love when your schedule dictates that your season rides on the first game.

Imagine for a moment that Notre Dame had to play their first game against USC.  That makes me shudder.  Nevada finds themselves in this position.

Certainly, the history is different, Nevada doesn't have a history of getting embarrassed by Notre Dame for the last decade.  However, statistics will tell you that since 2005 Nevada is 0-4 in opening games against D1 opponents and that in that same time they are in general 1-8 against BCS Conference teams.  That certainly is a dismal outlook beginning this season.  But the overwhelming question is, "Can they really do it?"
Nevada fans certainly think so.

My first instinct is to completely look over this game as a Notre Dame fan.  I mean, its the WAC. Sure Nevada had a decently ranked rush defense, but the average ranking of the rushing attacks they faced was 81st.  See what I mean?  But beyond the defense there is a dangerous offense that if Notre Dame lets go, can burn.  Big time.

For those of you who have been under a rock until, well, today; Nevada runs the Pistol offense.  Quick explanation is the fact that it is essentially a variation of the spread offense with the RBs and QB  a little closer to the line of scrimmage.

Why does that matter?  Plays develop faster.  Much faster.  A few yards seems trivial but in a split second the running back is at the line and moving through the defensive unit. 

This also allows Nevada's biggest threat, quarterback Colin Kaepernick, to scramble easily on a QB keeper, or toss a quick out in record time.  But all is not well with the gun-slinging style of the pistol.

The fact that everything is closer means that the offensive line must be very solid or the QB is going to get sacked. Often.  Oh, and don't forget tackles for a loss.  If the defensive linemen isn't picked up right away, or the blitz gets through, the ball carrier will be met at the line. Nevada wasn't the worst team by far in sacks Allowed coming in at a nice round 30th ranking.

However, that was against teams whose defensive ratings averaged 76th in the nation. That's 37 spots below what the Notre Dame defense was ranked last season.  Before you get all red in the face and make that vein in your neck pop out, I know that Notre Dame wasn't the best at getting to the QB last season.  I am fairly certain that number will improve this season though.

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Vote Now! - Author Poll

Will Nevada Pull the Upset over Notre Dame?

  • Yes
  • No
  • Maybe
vote to see results
Results - Author Poll

Will Nevada Pull the Upset over Notre Dame?

  • Yes

    31.5%
  • No

    56.5%
  • Maybe

    12.0%
  • Total votes: 92
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written on August 31, 2009 Preview/Prediction

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