NBA Mock Draft 2008: Early Predictions

Now that the lottery results are in, David Chu is ready to talk about the 2008 NBA Draft: Who's going where, and why.

by David Chu (Scribe)

21

5937 reads

Preview/Prediction

May 20, 2008

NBA, Chicago Bulls, NBA Draft, Preview/Prediction, Rankings/List, 2008 NBA Draft

The lottery results are in, folks, and Chicago is the big winner in this draft, moving up from the No. 9 projected pick to the No. 1 pick.

The losers in the lottery? Well, pretty much everyone that moved down a spot, but the biggest loser clearly had to be the Seattle (or Oklahoma City) Sonics. They moved down from No. 2 projected to the No. 4 spot.

But don't be discouraged, Sonics fans; this draft is very deep in talent and, although there is a difference from the top-two picks and the other 12, I think that every lottery team in this year's draft will come away with a very good player.

Early predictions for the top-10 picks in the 2008 NBA Draft:

1. Chicago - This is by far the toughest decision in this year's draft. Both Derrick Rose and Michael Beasley are two really great players.

I think this pick might actually dictate what Chicago does with Ben Gordon and Luol Deng. If the Bulls pick Derrick Rose, look for them to give Luol Deng the money he wants and deserves. But if Chicago goes with Michael Beasley, look for Chicago to resign Ben Gordon and maybe let go of Deng, since they already have Tyrus Thomas at the forward spot, as well.

My guess is that Chicago is going to go with Derrick Rose. Derrick Rose is from the Chicago area and has that Chicago kid toughness, like Dwyane Wade. Especially after sitting at home and watching Deron Williams and Chris Paul lead their teams into the playoffs with great performances, Chicago would be hardpressed not to pick the hometown kid.

With the No. 1 pick, the Chicago Bulls select Derrick Rose.

2. Miami - The Miami Heat are in the same position as the Seattle Supersonics were in last year. Depending on what the No. 1 team does, they will take the "other" guy. And that other guy this year is Michael Beasley.

Michael Beasley will give them easily 15-to-20-plus points per game with about 7-to-9 rebounds a game. The guy can play. Is he a three or a four? Doesn't really matter. Put him anywhere and he's going to give you production. Apparently there are some character issues with him, but with Dwyane Wade there along with Shawn Marion to be his mentor, I don't think there will be any problems with that. Just like Derrick Rose, Michael Beasley will be a star in this league and potentially the Rookie of the Year.

With the No. 2 pick, the Miami Heat select Michael Beasley.

3. Minnesota - Minnesota is in an interesting position here. Where do they go? Do they go big or small? The T'wolves are stacked with a lot of potential filled players, but that's just potential.

I think they need more than potential; they need someone who can come in and produce right away. I think Brook Lopez can be that guy. He's 7'0" with decent mobility, and he's able to bang. He's still very raw in my estimation, and still has a lot of potential—more than his brother, at least. They could probably start him right away and expect 10-to-12 points a game with about 8-to-9 rebounds and maybe a block or two. This pick would just fill a void that they have at the center spot and will be a good building block.

With the No. 3 pick, the Minnesota Timberwolves select Brook Lopez.

4. Seattle - Finally, Sonics fans, your time has come. Although the potential to have either Derrick Rose or Michael Beasley is gone, not to worry: There are still plenty of capable players left in this draft.

The Sonics have plenty of holes on their team, from their big man woes to even their guard woes. I'm thinking guard for these guys. It's a tossup between O.J. Mayo and Jerryd Bayless right now. With Bayless, they get a guy who could possibly be a point guard in the NBA, while with Mayo, they get a guy who will most likely play the two in the NBA.

But I gotta go with Bayless. He is a guy in college that scored at will and distributed the ball pretty well. He turn the ball over a bit too much; he's got to get better at that. He reminds me of when Jay Williams (from Duke) came into the league: He's very explosive, can shoot from almost anywhere, and has that ability to get into the lane at will. This is a great pick for the Sonics.

With the No. 4 pick, the Seattle Supersonics select Jerryd Bayless.

5. Memphis - Memphis picked Michael Conley in last year's draft, and I don't think they've lost faith in him just yet. It was only his rookie year last year, coming into the draft as a freshman, so they're going to give him some time to develop.

So, having said that, that should eliminate them from going for any point guards in this draft. I don't know, this was a tough pick for me, but I think they either need a shooting guard or a big man. There aren't really too many big men that should be considered being picked this high beside maybe DeAndre Jordan. O.J. Mayo might also be a good pick, maybe even Eric Gordon. But overall, it came down to needs for this team, and this team needs a big man after losing Pau Gasol and getting almost nothing in return.

I chose to go with Jordan from Texas A&M. Jordan has a ton of potential. I think, of all the prospects this year, if Jordan puts in the work, he has the potential to become the BEST prospect out of this year's draft. Yeah, that's how much potential he has. He looks like a young Dwight Howard, although not as physically developed. He is very explosive and runs the floor extremely well for a big man.

With the No. 5 pick, the Memphis Grizzlies select DeAndre Jordan.

6. New York - Yes, fellow Knick fans! Our time has come; although our wishes weren't granted with the Derrick Rose-Michael Beasley sweepstakes, we're in a pretty good position right now with No. 6.

With a new coach in Mike D'Antoni and a new man making decisions in Donnie Walsh, this year's draft pick is very important to these two in how they want to build this franchise.

I don't think O.J. Mayo is going to be a good fit for the Knicks, and I think Eric Gordon might be a better fit. When you look at the Knicks roster, on paper they look pretty decent. There's no really big glaring hole on their roster, but, nonetheless, they all need improvements. After thinking through, I felt like Eric Gordon was a better fit than Mayo. Sure, Mayo is ready for the New York pressure, but I feel like Eric Gordon's character and team-play ability is too hard to pass up. He looks like a better version of Ben Gordon and might turn into a Ray Allen type of guy, too.

With the No. 6 pick, the New York Knicks select Eric Gordon.

7. L.A. Clippers - The Clippers are in familiar territory, back in the lottery. Although this time, I feel like they're going to come away with a really good player. And, without any discussion, this player will be O.J. Mayo.

Mayo already knows how to play in big competition and played in the local Los Angeles area, so settling down there won't be a problem. He will give the Clippers a dynamic scorer and maybe (just maybe) might turn into a pretty good passer; who knows. He is athletic and very strong when he drives to the basket. My guess is that he will start at the two-spot for the Clips and average around 15-to-18 points per game, or maybe even more, with about 4-to-5 assists per game. In college, turnovers were a really bad part of his game. Sometimes he would forget about the team aspect of playing and would try to take the whole other team by himself. But, nonetheless, this is a very good fit and pick for the Clippers.

With the No. 7 pick, the L.A. Clippers select O.J. Mayo.

8. Milwaukee - Also in familiar territory are the Milwaukee Bucks. I don't think they need any guards because they're pretty set with the point guard and shooting guard position. They do need a big man and maybe even a wing player, depending on where they put Yi Jialian.

I like Anthony Randolph from LSU. He is 6'10", very long and athletic—sort of like Lamar Odom and Chris Bosh. If he could turn into either one of those players, the Bucks are obviously winners. I think the ability for Randolph to be able to play both forward positions is favorable to him, but he definitely needs to add a lot of weight; he actually looks like Chris Bosh when he first came into this league. It is going to take a couple of years before the Bucks reap the rewards with this kid, but I think that the wait will be very well worth it.

With the No. 8 pick, the Milwaukee Bucks select Anthony Randolph.

9. Charlotte - The Bobcats are a pretty good team, I think; they just need more experience as a whole before they move on to the next level. I think they need another power forward, or maybe even a center.

Larry Brown is their new coach and Larry loves defensive guys, but Michael Jordan loves players like Kevin Love. Love will give them solid play at the four position, and I've seen him work out recently: He's slimmed down a lot and will surprise some people with his athleticism. He wasn't able to show his whole set of skills at UCLA because of the system he plays in, but those skills will be able to be shown in the NBA because it is a much faster pace which plays into his skills. A big-man who can step out and hit that 15-foot jumper is very hard to find, and Kevin Love can be that guy. He is also a great passer, so they can run that pick-and-roll with him, as well. I really like this pick for the Bobcats, I think that Love can step in and play right away.

With the No. 9 pick, the Charlotte Bobcats select, Kevin Love.

10. New Jersey - It was pretty funny seeing Jay-Z at the lottery special, but anyway the Nets are in pretty good position here. They clearly need a big man; they've been wanting a big man for the longest time. They have Richard Jefferson at the three, Vince Carter at the two, and Devin Harris at the one. That's pretty good, if you ask me. And, oh, they have a surprise guy in Sean Williams at the four or five position from last year's draft.

But, having said that, I think they are going to be hard-pressed not to go with Danilo Gallinari. He is an Italian prospect listed at 6'10". It is said that he is much better than Andrea Bargnani of Toronto right now and will only continue to get better. He can shoot the 3, drive to the hole, or pull up for that mid-range jumper. He does look very skinny, so he will have to develop strength in that area. He looks like he has some potential. Although I wouldn't draft him this high, I think that the Nets won't be able to pass up on that potential.

With the No. 10 pick, the New Jersey Nets select Danilo Gallinari.

How did I do, guys? Well, this is just a temporary mock draft, I hope. As I keep examining players and the team's situations, this mock draft will most likely change in a few weeks. As always, comments are always welcome, whether good or bad. Thanks!

Preview/Prediction

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comments (21) write a comment »

  1. go, Knicks!

  2. I think despite projections that the Knicks will take Mayo, they will most likely take Hibbert. NY is full of guards and forwards. We know that Hibbert can run and has a great IQ. He is in the GT mold of centers and reminds me most of Mutombo except that due to his experience in the Princeton type system I think D'antoni will accept this with the hopes of solidifying his front line. A must pick for them.

  3. I hope that Miami gets Beasley, but I think they may get Rose. Either way a great selection. Remember Wade made mention that the player he wanted was still playing in the Final Four "and it wasn't Beasley" For his sake to get a Beasley with the prospect of keeping Marion gives them three players with offensive production and defensive upside. This is no Boston 3 Party, but it could turn out that way in the future. If they get Rose, it gets real interesting because I think they still need an inside presence. Losing Shaq and Alonzo gave them alot of problems defending inside however, with the young athletic group of players that got considerable time we'll just have to see how they fare. By the way, there's still Elton Brand out there and we know he'll never see a chance to win a championship in the west. Miami with those components would appeal to the unappreciated juggernaut of the west coast.

  4. I really don't see what everyone sees in Love. First rounder? Yes. Lottery? No. Theres so much talent in the NBA compared to what he faced in the Pac-10. If you think differently re-watch Memphis vs. UCLA Final Four game. Mr. Love was shut down by the Memphis big men who will be pro but aren't top notch.

  5. I have played against Bayless in high school, as he went to high school here in Arizona as did I, realistically he is a great player but he isn't that nice of a guy, I've talked to him before and he was very cocky and didn't seem like he was naturally nice, maybe it was just the time I have talked to him but thats what I got from him.

  6. I envy the Heat's position. They don't have to make a tough decision at all.

  7. Why isnt OJ higher? Hes the next Kobe.

  8. I'm not sure how much you want Gordon in New York. I go to IU and while I must admit, he never failed to amaze me in the first half of the season, he collapsed against the Big Ten. It seemed as if the only way he could score at times was to draw fouls. He is a team player and he does have good character for the most part, but when he gets frustrated, it shows. I think he could've benefited from another year in the NCAA, but according to sources close to Gordon, he was about as sure of his decision as little kids are when their parents asked them, "Would you like some candy?"

    That being said, if the Knicks do indeed get Gordon, then best of luck. I'd sure like to see him do well and he does have the potential. I'm just not sure he's had enough time to mature.

  9. i agree with pretty much everyone of your predictions and having looked at multiple mock drafts others do too but the main two i would change would be Seattle and Milwaukee.

    Sonics: i agree they need a guard and it is ultimately out of Jerryd Bayless and O.J. with D.J. being a reach that early in the draft and i wouldn't be surprised to see the sonics even drop back in the draft in hopes of adding an experienced vet to help continue the development of prized possessions Jeff Green and KD. But at this spot i don't expect them to pass up the chance to add Bayless or Mayo to an already stellar combo of up and coming players. I believe they will ultimately select Mayo as he can become a better point than bayless and O.J.'s size comes into play him being 6'5'' and Green and Durant being 6'6'' and 6'8" respectively that would create match up problems for one of their top 3 players and if all three could mesh together people in Oklahoma City will be getting away with highway robbery being able to watch that trio in action for years to come.

    Bucks: as much potential and upside Anthony Randolph has i believe Milwaukee management likes Andrew Bogut and can get a better frontcourt partner to accompany him by shopping around Villanueva and maybe Michael Redd. All that said the Bucks main concern with the roster they have now is the small forward position and two names come to my mind when talking about the small forwards in this draft and thats Danilo Gallinari and Joe Alexander. Gallinari is an elite European prospect who has developed in Italy and has great upside to his game and at 6'10" beefs up the Bucks frontcourt and he also has the European touch that all big men from overseas seem to possess and can take pressure off Yi, Bogut, and especially Michael Redd to put the ball into the hoop. However i love Alexander as a prospect and think he's a true dark horse in this years draft. He can shoot, is very athletic, can add muscle to his frame and has the attitude to fight it out down low in the post. On ESPN's Chad Ford's Blog there was a video posted of Alexander preparing for the draft and his workouts and that kid gets UP! He'll be a name moving up many people's draft board due to his work ethic and intensity he brings to his workouts not to mention that he has the skill as seen in college and by Duke in the NCAA Tournament. I think if the Bucks grab him at eight they'll like their choice for years to come as he develops into the player he can become.

  10. I don't get it, why doesn't anyone have the Knicks taking Kevin Love? I feel like he'd be a perfect fit for the team. Good character, athletic big man who will run the floor (just what D'Antoni likes) and he has a great jump shot and he's a solid passer.

  11. derrick rose wll probably go #1 because he went the farthestb in the ncaa tournament and deserves to go #1

  12. Beasley should go number 1. Bulls haven't had any kind of low post scoring since Curry left. Beasley is a terrific rebounder as well. He has future HOF'r written all over him.

    Rose does not shoot as well as Beasley. You need your pg to knock free throws down in games and Rose simply is not good enough from the line. Rose is avg. size for an NBA point. He looks quick at the college level but there are faster guards than him in the pros. Rose had a 9 point lead with 2 minutes and change left in the title game........and still found a way to lose. Great pg guards don't blow that game. Rose has "can you win an NBA title with him as your point" written all over him. Might make an allstar team.....once.

    Beasley is no brainer, unfortunately, Paxson makes the decisions in Chicago. He'll find a way to screw this one up.

  13. This mock is too nice and pretty, as you made it based on what teams should do, not what teams usually do. NBA drafts are ugly and trade-heavy, as well. I'd expect to see a lot of movement after the top two, as you even stated 3-12 are pretty interchangeable. This will be an interesting draft.

  14. Jered Bayless sucks U of A sucks Jered bayless is a pussy.

  15. screw the person above me..... JERRYD BAYLESS will be a stud at U of A and U of A clearly doesn't suck we have been in the torny 24 straight years and we've got Jennings come in... you're probably from ASU aka a junior college

    1. ASU has run U of A in athletics this season, ASU athletics lead the season series over U of A 17-2, with the only two losses coming in gymnastics and Mens swimming.... ASU, ASU, ASU, ASU!!!!

    2. yea ASU had an up year thats nice... U of A has won 2 national titles this year... Even though ASU beat UA twice you still couldnt make the NCAA tournament so sit on that

    3. Ya well Asu has the hottest girls in the country U of A is just a bunch of dumb people.

    4. Michael the only reason why U of A even made it to the Ncaa Tourny and was blown out was because lute Olsen came bask right before the tourney. Wow brenden Jennings will be owned by James Hardon.

  16. haha its nice to see we got some Arizona pride going on up in here.

  17. Bayless Durant Green could be a very good trio in a couple of years

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