Cincinnati Football Projections: Game by Game (By The Numbers)

Pavan KatepalliContributor IAugust 28, 2009

MIAMI - JANUARY 01: Tony Pike #15 of the Cincinnati Bearcats looks down field to pass against the Virginia Tech Hokies during the FedEx Orange Bowl at Dolphin Stadium on January 1, 2009 in Miami, Florida.  (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)

This is what I did. I rated the Throwing Game, Running Game and Defense of each team in the Big East. The Offensive Line had a major part to play in the Running Game. I also took into consideration of Home advantages, but those considerations aren't in the table I drew up below. I use the numbers in the table to determine who will win what game and when. Here are the numbers:

TeamThrowing GameDefenseRunning GameTotal Points
Cincinnati10/101/57/1018
South Florida10/104/52/1016
West Virginia10/105/57/1022
Rutgers5/103/58/1016
Pittsburgh8/104/57/1019
Connecticut4/104/58/1016
Louisville6/101/57/1014
Syracuse6/103/54/1013

 

Cincinnati Game Projections:

@ Rutgers                                      LOSS

- Since this is an away game, Rutgers gets +2 points, so both teams have 18 points. But the mediocre defense of Rutgers slows down Cincinnati's running and throwing game, while Rutgers solid offensive line coupled with Cincinnati's unproven defense lets Rutgers offense do wonders.


Southeast Missouri State           WIN    

- No comment


@ Oregon State                            WIN

- Oregon State's defense isn't as good as everyone thinks it is.


Fresno State                                 WIN    

- It's not Boise State.


@ Miami (OH)                               WIN

- I don't even know what conference Miami (OH) is from. I would say it's the ACC, but I know that's wrong.


@ South Florida                           LOSS

- Since this is an away game, South Florida gets +2 points, so both teams have 18 points. But the defense of South Florida stops Cincinnati in its tracks.


Louisville                                       WIN      

- Cincinnati gets +2 points making their total 20 points vs. Louisville's 14 points.


@ Syracuse
                                   WIN           

- Syracuse gets +2 points since it's home making their total 15 vs. Cincinnati's 18.


Connecticut
                                  WIN           

- Cincinnati gets +2 points since it's home making their total 20. This verses Connecticut's 16 doesn't look good for the Huskies.


West Virginia
                               LOSS   


- Cincinnati gets +2 points since it's home making their total 20. This vs West Virginia's 22 doesn't look good for the Bearcats.

Illinois                                             WIN        

- The Big Ten consists of more than 10 schools. This is why Illinois will lose.


@ Pittsburgh
                                LOSS

- Pitt gets +2 points because it's at their house. That makes their total 21 vs Cincinnati's 18 points.

There you have it folks. An 8 win 4 loss pre season record by the numbers for the Cincinnati Bearcats.

I'll be doing the rest of the Big East by numbers soon.