Fantasy Football ADP Watch: Falling Running Backs

Michael WhooleySenior Writer IAugust 27, 2009

FLORHAM PARK, NJ - MAY 02:  Shonn Greene #23 of the New York Jets practices during minicamp on May 2, 2009 at the Atlantic Health Jets Training Center in Florham Park, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

With the season rapidly approaching, Bruno Boys Nation is starving for knowledge and I (Bruno Boys Ziza) am here to oblige. Leading up to Week 1, I will be tackling the weekly running back risers and fallers for ESPN live draft ADP (Average Draft Position).

This week in the fallers, we tackle Shonn Greene (-8.4), Correll Buckhalter (-6.7), Michael Bush (-4.4), Reggie Bush (-2.1) and Darren McFadden (-1.6). I will be breaking down these players and giving the reasoning of why I believe or don’t believe that the movement is justifiable.

Shonn Greene (New York Jets) – Shonn Greene’s value has dived this week, dropping -8.4 APD spots due to both a rib injury, which has kept him off of the field as well as added suspicion that Thomas Jones and Leon Washington will be getting most of the touches because Greene may still be a little green (no pun intended).

He does have talent and could have some value if one of the two goes down with injury; however, until then he has virtually no fantasy value this season. Draft him late in drafts or in keeper/dynasty leagues.

Correll Buckhalter (Denver Broncos) – In a mild head scratcher, Correll Buckhalter of the Denver Broncos has dropped -6.7 ADP spots in ESPN drafts this past week. He is a player that was already being drafted near the end of drafts so the fall is somewhat confusing as he possesses a unique feature that you don’t find much at the end of the draft—potential value.

With Knowshon Moreno banged up and the other major competition being Lamont Jordan, Buckhalter still has a shot at being a solid RB4/RB5. If you are one that follows ADP (average draft position), don’t believe what you are seeing. His value is not dropping all of a sudden. In fact, it is on the verge of going up.

Michael Bush (Oakland Raiders) – This week Michael Bush slid -4.4 ADP spots yet still remains in the hunt for some playing time in the Oakland Raiders’ rotation. While I fully expect Darren McFadden to be the starter, Justin Fargas is dealing with a strained hamstring which should allow Bush to see more action.

If Fargas’ hammy continues to give him problems to start the season, Bush could have some fantasy value; albeit minimal at best. Bush remains a low-end pick later in your fantasy football drafts.

Reggie Bush (New Orleans Saints) – While not a huge drop, -2.1 ADP spots for Reggie Bush who is coming off the board at the 67.7 position may see his value dip more leading into the season. Bush, who already will be sharing his playing time with Pierre Thomas now has Mike Bell to contend with as well.

If the New Orleans Saints do decide to utilize three running backs throughout the season the affect could be the same as we had seen with the Baltimore Ravens last year—inconsistent weeks, a lot of disappointment and indecisiveness.

Do yourself a favor; unless Bush drops far enough in your draft to make it a no-brainer, let him be someone else’s problem.

Darren McFadden (Oakland Raiders)Darren McFadden remains one of the more intriguing running backs heading into fantasy football drafts. You will be able to grab him at a spot that very well could be below what he will produce this year.

But, with all the crap that is once again brewing around the Oakland Raiders organization, people seem to be souring on all of their players. That is to be expected, and that is good for you if you are the one that ends up with McFadden.

I expect nothing lower than RB2 numbers from McFadden and that is the lowest of the low. He has the potential to jump into low-end RB1, high-end RB2 in deeper leagues. Don’t worry at all about the -1.6 ADP spot dip this week.