With the NFL season rapidly approaching, just about every eager fantasy football owner is starving for knowledge, and I (Bruno Boys Ziza) am here to oblige.
Leading up to Week 1 of the regular season, I will be tackling the weekly running back risers and fallers for ADP (Average Draft Position). I will be using ESPN's live draft ADP feature to fill everyone in on which running backs are increasing, and decreasing in value as the pre-season progresses.
With that said, let’s take a look at the Top 5 risers for the week. The list includes Ladell Betts (+3.8), Felix Jones (+3.5), Jamaal Charles (+3), DeAngelo Williams (+1.1) and Joseph Addai (1.1).
I will be breaking down these players, and providing reasoning of why I believe, or don’t believe that the movement in ADP is justifiable.
1. Ladell Betts (Washington Redskins) – For another consecutive week in a row, Betts has risen up the ADP charts; this time +3.8 ADP spots, or nearly half a round sooner in 10-team leagues.
He did have a scare this week as he was experiencing back spasms during the Redskins’ pre-season game with the Pittsburgh Steelers, but it is nothing to really be concerned over. He is still going low enough in the draft as the 172.7 player being taken to take a gamble on. The rise remains legit and he is someone that you should take during the latter part of the draft, unless you own Clinton Portis. If you do, its reasonable to handcuff him with Betts a few rounds earlier.
2. Felix Jones (Dallas Cowboys) – Piggybacking off of last season’s showing, Jones has continued the progress this pre-season impressing in both the running game and as a receiver.
While Marion Barber undoubtedly remains the #1 option for the Dallas Cowboys, with the loss of Terrell Owens, Jones should be more active through the air.
At the moment, consider him a low-end RB3, high-end RB4 option. But with the injury concerns of Barber, one never knows when Jones’ value could soar. The +3.5 ADP spots, earning him the 94.7 player off of the board is well deserved.
3. Jamaal Charles (Kansas City Chiefs) – While it is highly unlikely that they will remind everyone of the Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson show from back in the day, Jamaal Charles and Johnson have both been effective during the pre-season thus far.
While Charles is expected to see a lot of the third down load, it would not shock me at all if the Chiefs, who have been struggling in the passing game during the pre-season, put both on the field often.
Charles is still coming off the board later in drafts, meaning he is a low-risk, high reward type of back; one which you will definitely want to keep your eye on come draft day. The +3 ADP shows that he should continue to rise in value.
4. DeAngelo Williams (Carolina Panthers) – While Williams has gained only +1.1 ADP draft spots this week, what makes it a huge deal is that he is going 9.4 overall. Meaning his draft position just gained 10 percent in the matter of one week.
That is impressive, and there are a few reasons for that.
First of all, his partner Jonathan Stewart is still suffering from a leg injury that could linger into the season. Secondly, Williams has looked and performed at the same level this preseason that people got used to last year. If Stewart remains an injury concern, expect Williams’ workload to increase. Whether or not that is a good thing, remains to be seen as he is a bit undersized, and he is more of a burner than a power back. The two complement each other well so pray for Stewart to be near 100% when the season is ready to begin.
5. Joseph Addai (Indianapolis Colts) – In what could become one of the better bargains in this year’s fantasy football drafts, Joseph Addai of the Indianapolis Colts has been coming off the board as the 51.5 player.
Two seasons ago, he was a first round pick, and last year he was roughly a high-end RB2 pick, and news out of Indianapolis is that Addai looks to be as healthy as ever. The +1.1 ADP gain this week is a mild accomplishment, but if he really is looking as good as they say, you should see his stock going up each week as we approach the season.
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