Fearless Fantasy Football Projections 2009: Part 1, Quarterbacks

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Fearless Fantasy Football Projections 2009: Part 1, Quarterbacks
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It's finally time for another NFL season, and fantasy drafts are just around the corner.

Now, I know I'm one out of millions who are putting out their own fantasy thoughts, but I hope to give a fresh perspective and maybe a different spin on several of the top fantasy players in 2009.

Today, I am posting my quarterback rankings.

As an overall position, I tend to value quarterbacks, especially those at the top, more than most experts due to their scoring potential and year-to-year consistency.

 

First Tier

 

1. Tony Romo

Here's your first indication that I like to think outside the box.

I love the Cowboys as a team this year. The defense will better, and the running game will take off with carries being shared between their great stable of backs.

Dallas also has one of the best offensive lines in the league, although they were a bit inconsistent last season.

Romo averages just over two touchdowns a game in his career, and I don't expect a down year: 30-35 total touchdowns and 3,800 yards.

 

2. Tom Brady

He's back, and he'll be as good as ever.

I wouldn't put him down for 50 TDs, but his talent and that offense are sure to produce 4,200 yards and 27-33 TDs.

Don't expect a slow start, either. According to reports, he is already able to fully participate in all team activities.

 

3. Drew Brees

Last year's fantasy hero, Brees averaged over 300 yards per game.

Saints fans should hope he doesn't put up similar numbers this year, as a new defensive coordinator and the emergence of Pierre Thomas as a No. 1 back could keep the scores a little lower in 2009.

Expect 4,400 yards and 26-31 TDs.

 

4. Aaron Rodgers

Big things were expected from Rodgers last year after the "Summer of Favre" saga, and Rodgers delivered in a big way.

The Packers offense ranked fifth in the league with Rodgers leading the way with over 4,000 yards and 32 total TDs.

Like Brees, Cheeseheads would be happy with smaller numbers from their QB if it meant an improved rushing attack and better defense.

Rodgers will get 28 total TDs and 3,800 yards.

 

5. Peyton Manning

Manning may be the most consistent player in fantasy football history. He has thrown for at least 3,700 yards and 26 TDs in each of the last nine seasons.

Although he and some of his supporting cast are getting a little older, you can expect more of the same from the reigning MVP.

Second Tier

 

6. Philip Rivers

Rivers is not as talented as many quarterbacks ranked behind him, but he is surrounded by scorers and playmakers. Expect 24-27 TDs and 4,000 yards.

 

7. Kurt Warner

Obviously, he has the best receivers in the league, but coach Ken Whisenhunt is calling the plays now. Remember, he came from Pittsburgh.

Age and health are also concerns. 

If he can stay healthy, he can get 27-33 TDs and 4,500 yards. But don't expect him to remain healthy.

 

8. Matt Schaub

Another guy who would be much higher if not for injury concerns, last year, Schaub averaged as many fantasy points per game as Peyton Manning, and if he stays on the field, he could jump over him this year: 4,300 yards and 25 TDs.

 

Third Tier

 

9. Jay Cutler

Despite the concern of experts, a change of scenery will not hurt Cutler much.

Greg Olsen is ready to break out as an elite tight end and red-zone option, while Cutler's arm strength will help Devin Hester's transition to WR take flight.

Cutler will go for 23-26 TDs and 3,800 yards.

 

10. Donovan McNabb

With their new weapons, McNabb and the Eagles could finally win a championship, but don't count on him to carry your fantasy team to one. He has only eclipsed 25 TDs twice in his career, and he has only played a full season four times.

20-25 TDs and 3,900 yards sounds about right.

Fourth Tier

 

11. Matt Ryan

"Matty Ice" took the league by storm, but don't go "gaga" on Ryan. He only threw 16 TDs last year.

Expect 19-23 TDs and 3,600 yards.

 

12. Carson Palmer

His elbow should be fully healthy, but his receiving corps has been seriously depleted.

He will go for 18-22 TDs and 3,800 yards.

 

Overvalued

 

Eli Manning and Ben Roethlisberger

They may have Super Bowl rings, but they just don't produce good fantasy numbers.

Manning will be lacking a No. 1 receiver, and Pittsburgh's run-first, run-second, then-run-some-more mentality kills Roethlisberger's value.

 

Undervalued

 

Kyle Orton

A great offensive line and a host of receiving threats put Orton in a great fantasy position. Don't forget; he did produce 21 TDs in Chicago last year.

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