Dissecting the Deadline: Who Will, May and Won't Be on the Move

Jon AlbaCorrespondent IJuly 27, 2009

NEW YORK - APRIL 16:  Cliff Lee #31 of the Cleveland Indians pitches against the New York Yankees during opening day at the new Yankee Stadium on April 16, 2009 in the Bronx borough of New York City. This is the first regular season MLB game being played at the new venue which replaced the old Yankee Stadium as the Yankees home field.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

With just days left until the MLB Trade Deadline, rumors have been running swiftly across the wire about some of the game's biggest names.  Teams have been proposing deals left and right, and with the exception of a few small deals and the Matt Holliday trade, little has occured.

Who exactly can the fans expect to be dealt this year?  Better yet, who will get these players?


Roy Halladay, SP

As of Sunday, Halladay has been the most talked about trade candidate going into the latter half of the season.  With an 11-3 record and a 2.62 ERA, why should he not be?  Toronto's General Manager J.P. Ricciardi is beginning to realize that his team's playoff hopes are faltering, and that the 32-year-old Halladay will not likely resign after the 2010 season.

Suitors: Phillies, Angels, Dodgers, Yankees, Red Sox, Brewers, White Sox, Mets

Will he be traded?

The issue that remains with a potential Halladay deal is the price that comes along with it.  The Phillies had reportedly been close to a deal with Toronto, but pulled their offer temporarily off the table after learning that it would take J.A. Happ, Kyle Drabek, and Dominic Brown to acquire the All-Star.  They will attempt to bring the asking price down as the days go on.

The Angels and Dodgers have both intensified their interest in Halladay, yet the Angels initial offer of Jered Weaver and prospects was rejected. 

The Yankees will have to present Joba Chamberlain, Phil Hughes, Jesus Montero, and Austin Jackson if they wish to bring him in, and the Red Sox are yet to submit a formal proposal.

With all these factors included, do not expect a Roy Halladay trade by his July 28 deadline.  However, do not be surprised if someone decides to go all in and make a serious play for him either.


Victor Martinez, C/1B

Coming off of a horrific 2008 season, Martinez has greatly bounced back in '09.  Sporting a .287 average and 14 home runs, V-Mart has been one of the few bright sides to the Indians current campaign.  Victor adds the versatility of playing both catcher and first base, making him very useful to several teams.

Suitors: Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays, San Francisco Giants

Will he be traded?

If his status remains as it is currently, a Martinez deal is most certainly not out of the question.  The Red Sox, just days after acquiring the already-productive Adam LaRoche, are said to be the most interested in Martinez's services.  The team has offered two deals according to MLB Trade Rumors, each involving some of their brightest players such as Clay Buchholz and Justin Masterson.  Cleveland has rejected both proposals however, and expect only the best in return.  This could come down to the deadline itself.


Cliff Lee, SP

Lee is coming off a year in which he completely dominated the American League Central.  He is the reigning Cy Young, and is an exceptional weapon to have at the top of the rotation for any squad.  However, he has been streaky in his career, having been sent down to the minors on a few different occasions.  He is 7-9 on a mediocre Cleveland team, with an ERA just above three.

Suitors: New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Dodgers, Texas Rangers, Tampa Bay Rays

Will he be traded?

Do not anticipate a Cliff Lee trade this year.  His cost is simply way too much, as some top prospects would have to be involved in this mid-season deal.  While few other players withhold the same value that Lee presents, it ultimately may not be worth a large amount of Grade-A prospects.  While the Phillies may look to him instead of Halladay, again, do not expect Cliff Lee to leave Cleveland by the 31st.


Jarrod Washburn

Washburn has been one of the oddest stories to come out of baseball in the past few years.  He is seemingly the ideal pitcher to anchor a rotation, yet coming out of the AL West, it becomes rather difficult to obtain a strategic hold on the division.   Sporting a 2.71 ERA for the surging Mariners, a large package would be needed to obtain him.

Suitors: New York Yankees, Milwaukee Brewers, Detroit Tigers

Will he be traded?

Other than the Yankees and Brewers, not many teams are looking at Washburn.  It is possible that another squad could swing by on Friday, but do not expect it.  The Yankees were asked to include veteran Melky Cabrera and rookie Bret Gardner in a potential deal, which could turn the team elsewhere.  Unless someone miraculously comes out of nowhere, a deal for Washburn is unlikely.


Orlando Cabrera, SS

Cabrera had been one of the most decorated shortstops throughout the majors over the past few seasons.  He's also been one of the biggest nomads, traveling to several teams over a short span of time.  Orlando has surprisingly flourished in Oakland this season, with an average just under .280.  His defense has been solid, but it has also been a liability. 

Suitors: Minnesota Twins

Will he get traded?

Twins manager Ron Gardenhire is heavily into Cabrera:

 "I'm not allowed to talk about players, but yes I like Cabrera.  It's a direct question.  I can answer a direct question.  I think he's a great player."

It would not be surprising if a deal got done between the two squads, as it is believed that the Twins have the prospects that Billy Beane is looking for.  It would be logical to state that the Twins have about a 75 percent chance of acquiring the veteran shortstop.


Bronson Arroyo, SP

Being one of the most inconsistent players in baseball over the past few years, Arroyo could find himself dealt at the trade deadline.  The Reds have not been an effective team in over a decade, and will likely not be this year.

Suitors: New York  Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, Los Angeles Dodgers

Will he be traded?

The Reds would love to move either Arroyo, Aaron Harang, or Francisco Cordero prior to the deadline.  It will be left up to the other teams, however, as if to acquire them.  It would not be surprising at all if one of them got dealt, especially rather sooner than later.  Arroyo would likely be the first to leave.


Ian Snell, SP

Snell has been one of the most watched young guns in the majors over the past few years, but has struggled greatly this year.  He is currently pitching well in Triple-A, however.

Suitors: New York Yankees

Will he be traded?

The Yankees are the only team thus far to express any interest in Snell, and have been told a trade will not be taken lightly.  With about a 50 percent chance of being dealt, the Yankees must be willing to part with some of their better prospects to obtain the Pirates former ace.


Heath Bell, RP

One of the best relievers this season, Bell has shut down opponents left and right.  He was handed the loss in this year's All-Star game, but pitched well outside of exhibition.

Suitors: Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees

The Yankees remain the favorite to acquire him, if a deal is done, of course.  The Padres appear ready to deal him, but once again, it will come with a cost. 


Several other players will be on the market, and one can expect for many other suitors to emerge.   An interesting note should be taken, as most of the potential buyers are American League teams.  Is this the year of American League?

Perhaps the baseball world will know by this Friday.

Read more about the Trade Deadline at SportsFullCircle!