Stat Work: Very Early Lines

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Stat Work: Very Early Lines

Football czar Phil Steele has posted the very early lines for big games in college football.  There is one discrepancy from the Golden Nugget, which is where Phil Steele got the info, and it is that they list the Colorado versus Colorado State game to be played in Denver.  However, that game is being played in Boulder, the home of Colorado.

Bold teams are the home teams

Colorado minus 13 - Colorado State. 

Have to take Colorado State.  This game has been close the past three years and this one is in Boulder, so that could make a difference.

Oklahoma minus 21 BYU @ Arlington  

This is tough but have to go with Oklahoma since last year they were able to score 35 against TCU last year.  I would go with Oklahoma to cover.

Oregon State minus 14 UNLV 

This interesting because UNLV should be better from last year's team, and while the Rebels are at home, they still may not win.  Oregon State plays poorly in the early part of the season, so in this early pick take UNLV.

Utah – Oregon minus 7.5

Even though this is in Eugune, 7.5 points seems like a lot, especially for a team that has a new head coach in Chip Kelly taking over.  Also, Oregon had numerous transfers, but the Ute QB should be settled and go with Utah.

Florida State- BYU minus 3

BYU rarely loses at home and FSU is pretty good, but not like they were in the mid 90's, so go with BYU.

Hawai’i- UNLV minus 7

Interesting matchup and this is a high scoring game, but I would take Hawai’i to cover because UNLV has a need for defense and Islanders can really put up points.

UNLV-Nevada minus 7

Interesting for Nevada to be favored, but in the Wolfpack's defense they return nearly everyone on offense.  Take UNLV because both teams can score and it will back and forth.

UNLV-BYU minus 13

Last year this game came down to the wire, and UNLV should be better, so the early pick is UNLV.

San Diego State-BYU minus 17

Easy, take the Cougars.

UNLV-Utah minus 10

Now this game is interesting because UNLV should be better, and the Utes have a new quarterback.  The revenge factor will be in since the Utes last visit to Vegas was an embarassing 27-0 loss, so take the Utes to cover.

Utah-BYU minus 6 

This one may seem easy to pick Utah because, if you do not include last year's route, the three previous came down to a final play, so the early pick is Utah.

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