Deutsche Bank Championship Odds 2014: Handicapping the Field at TPC Boston
Looking for Deutsche Bank Championship odds 2014? We've got 'em. More specifically, we have the breakdown of who among Rory McIlroy and Co. is most likely to taste victory at TPC Boston.
Last week's winner, Hunter Mahan, made himself a necessary addition to this list with his two-stroke triumph at Ridgewood Country Club. But how do the oddsmakers feel about Mr. Mahan's chances?
For the answer to that question, and to see if there's any point rooting for anyone other than Rory this week, read on.
FedEx Cup standing: 9
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 28-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T22. Playing Ridgewood CC for the first time, Jordan Spieth did pretty well for himself. A final-round 67 vaulted him 29 places up the leaderboard.
Spieth rebounded from a missed cut at the PGA Championship with a solid all-around performance at The Barclays. He hit 77.7 percent of greens in regulation for his final round.
During the final round of the Deutsche Bank Championship last year, Jordan Spieth torched TPC Boston for a Sunday 62. He finished tied for fourth for the week.
Given those good memories, a proven ability to play TPC Boston well across four days and a quality start his last time out, Spieth is a player to watch this week.
FedEx Cup standing: 57
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 26-1
How he finished at The Barclays: MDF (made cut, did not finish). While he did spur the #PhilWasHere meme thanks to a pair of recovery shots in Paramus, New Jersey, Phil Mickelson was disappointing at The Barclays. He missed the secondary cut after a Saturday 75.
Recent performance suggests selling Mickelson at The Barclays. He only hit 50 percent of fairways in his third (and final) round at The Barclays and lost 1.51 strokes to the field with his putter for the day.
Although he opened with a blistering 63 at the Deutsche Bank Championship last year, Mickelson failed to impress in succeeding rounds, eventually finishing tied for 41st.
Leaving Ridgewood Country Club on Saturday, Mickelson told Golf Channel's Jason Sobel, “I’m barely keeping my sanity; I’m so frustrated."
Given the above, it's difficult to buy Mickelson winning in Boston (if he even tees it up).
FedEx Cup standing: 1
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 25-1
How he finished at The Barclays: 1. Thanks to three birdies in his final four holes, Hunter Mahan bested Stuart Appleby, Cameron Tringale and Jason Day by two strokes for the win.
His last time out prior to The Barclays, Hunter Mahan finished tied for seventh at the PGA Championship. Prior to that, he tied for 15th at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. Thus, recent results suggest he's rounding into form.
Mahan hit an incredible 80 percent of greens in regulation at Ridgewood and tied for 15th in strokes gained-putting for the week.
He tied for 13th at the Duetsche Bank Championship last year and didn't post a round worse than 70 for the tournament. While the oddsmakers don't favor Mahan to win his second tournament in a row, his swing is tuned, and he plays TPC Boston well.
FedEx Cup standing: 6
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 22-1
How he finished at The Barclays: 8. Furyk put together a very respectable week at The Barclays. A final-round 70 when the rest of the leaders were shooting 66 kept his finish from being much better.
Long-suffering Jim Furyk notched his ninth top-10 finish of the year at The Barclays. After entering the final round with a real shot at victory, Furyk was undone by four bogeys Sunday. He posted a 70 Sunday and finished four strokes behind Hunter Mahan.
Furyk's list of recent finishes entering The Barclays looked like this: T5, T15, 2, 4. In other words, the man has done everything but win lately. Really, doing everything but winning has been the story of the 2013-14 season for Furyk; he's finished second three times.
The West Chester, Pennsylvania, native hasn't overwhelmed in recent starts at TPC Boston, and the golf gods seem to be conspiring against him this season. Translation: Don't bet on Furyk to win.
FedEx Cup standing: 11
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 20-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T9. A stumble in the second round (73) kept Rickie Fowler from really being in the hunt at The Barclays. Weekend rounds of 67 redeemed him and put to rest any questions as to whether he was slowing down.
Another week, another top-10 finish. Such has been the story of Rickie Fowler lately; he's finished inside the top 10 in his past six starts. Three of those starts were of the major championship variety, and the young Californian contended in all three.
Fowler's run of top-10 finishes may come to an end in Boston, however. He missed the cut at the Deutsche Bank Championship last year and finished tied for 74th in 2012. Clearly, the Gil Hanse-redesigned course doesn't fit Fowler's eye.
Which do you value more highly? Recent success or past performance at the course in question? Your preference determines how you think Fowler will fare at TPC Boston this week.
FedEx Cup standing: 4
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 18-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T5. The winner of The Barclays the last time it was contested at Ridgewood Country Club, Matt Kuchar did well for himself in his title defense of sorts. Further, the back injury that prompted his withdrawal at the PGA Championship didn't seem to give him any trouble.
Removing the W/D from Kuchar's recent results, prior to The Barclays, Kuchar finished tied for 12th at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational and tied for 54th at the RBC Canadian Open. And as there were no areas of statistical concern in the Georgia Tech alum's play in New Jersey, fans of Kuch have to be feeling good about their man.
Even better for the faithful, Kuchar finished tied for fourth at the Deutsche Bank Championship last year. Thus, Kuchar, who is currently fourth in the FedEx Cup standings, is returning to a venue he played well last year.
It's always hard to pick against Kuchar, and this week is no exception.
FedEx Cup standing: 66
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 16-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T38. After hitting 83 percent of greens in regulation Thursday and Friday, Stenson didn't do better than 61 percent on the weekend. Thus, he followed up his second-round 64 with a third-round 77.
After contending at the PGA Championship, Henrik Stenson had a letdown week in New Jersey. He needed to tee it up, given his position in the standings, but Stenson's game never looked sharp on the weekend at Ridgewood. He was undone by a few sloppy holes, such as the par-four fourth, where, in the third round, he took a nine.
Still, Stenson heads to TPC Boston as the defending champion. The double hockey sticks in the third round at Ridgewood Country Club don't change that fact Stenson didn't card a score worse than 67 in the Deutsche Bank last year.
He's a very good bet at the TPC.
FedEx Cup standing: 7
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 15-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T2. Jason Day parred the final four holes at Ridgewood Country Club to finish two strokes behind Mahan. The seven he carded on the 13th hole Saturday had to stick in his craw as he looked back on the week.
Assuming we've put "Thumbgate" behind us, it's worth noting that Jason Day has been playing some pretty decent golf lately. While he fizzled out Sunday at the PGA Championship, finishing tied for 15th has to be considered a "win," as Day withdrew from the tournament the week before with vertigo.
Although he struggled with accuracy off the tee during the third and fourth rounds at Ridgewood, Day shouldn't have the same problem on the wider fairways of TPC Boston.
The Australian tied for 13th at last year's Deutsche Bank Championship. So with his near-victory in New Jersey and a proven ability to play TPC Boston well, Day looks like a contender this week.
FedEx Cup standing: 16
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 11-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T15. Things were going well for Adam Scott through two rounds at The Barclays. A third-round 75 in which he hit just 42 percent of fairways changed that. Scotty bounced back with a final-round 68.
Adam Scott is the man oddsmakers see as the second-most likely to raise the trophy at the Deutsche Bank Championship.
Why is this? Perhaps because:
- He's finished inside the top 10 three out of the last four times he's played the Deutsche Bank Championship
- He presently has seven straight top-15 finishes
- He's arguably the best driver on tour
- He's 26th on tour in greens in regulation
- He's fourth in strokes gained: total
FedEx Cup standing: 2
Odds to win Deutsche Bank Championship: 4-1
How he finished at The Barclays: T22. Rory McIlroy opened with an uninspired 74 that saw him lose 1.1 strokes to the field with his putter and find just 50 percent of fairways. While he bounced back with a second-round 65, the Ulsterman ran out of gas on the weekend.
As Karl MacGinty of the Irish Independent wrote after McIlroy's performance at The Barclays, the golfer "appeared invincible as he stormed to two Major titles and a first victory at a World Golf Championship in four astonishing weeks. Over the weekend at The Barclays, however, the 25-year-old just looked flat."
McIlroy would have been due for a letdown at The Barclays even if he hadn't spent the last week jetting across the globe and partying. He was still enjoying himself early into Tuesday morning last week with none other than Tiger Woods, as the New York Post indicated.
Count The Barclays as a "working week off." McIlroy is still the best golfer on the planet and the best bet entering the Deutsche Bank Championship (an event he won in 2012, by the way).