It’s simple, if not easy, for Uruguay as they battle Italy on Tuesday in the final Group D match for both teams.
Win or go home, four years after a stellar run to the semi-finals.
The odds, as monitored by Odds Shark, reflect this reality, as a draw will send Italy through, possibly as the group winners.
The Italians have the slight advantage on goal differential, so if the match ends in a draw, they will be moving on to join surprising Costa Rica, the giant-killers who defeated both of these teams in huge upsets last week.
Both teams were 9-5 with draw lines of 5-2.
Uruguay played solid defense in their 2-1 win over England in their last group match, and they must key in on Italy striker Mario Balotelli, who had his chances in the 1-0 loss to Costa Rica but could not find the back of the net.
Luis Suarez’s return for Uruguay was critical, and he looked fit in the England match, where he scored the first goal. He leads the solid Uruguay offense that has the talent but has not looked great in the first two matches.
Still, central defender Giorgio Chiellini and keeper Gianluigi Buffon will have a tall task facing a Uruguay squad that desperately need three points and will be on the attack.
One area of the pitch where the Italians have the big advantage is in the midfield. Andrea Pirlo and Daniele De Rossi are the key duo in that area of the pitch, and Uruguay must disrupt their passing attack and limit the scoring chances they create.
Uruguay made the semifinals of the last World Cup, but that will not happen this summer, as Italy are the superior squad with a solid defense and a creative midfield.
We see a conservative game and an Italy victory with considerable movement on the World Cup future odds menus at all sportsbooks.
Italy vs. Uruguay prediction: 2-0 Italy
Stats and odds courtesy of Odds Shark.