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Stock Up, Stock Down for Atlanta Braves' Top 10 Prospects After Week 11

Martin GandyCorrespondent IOctober 8, 2016

Stock Up, Stock Down for Atlanta Braves' Top 10 Prospects After Week 11

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    Matt Slocum/Associated Press

    In this week’s Atlanta Braves prospect stock report, in addition to checking in on each of the top-10 prospects we’re going to see which ones have the most trade value.

    In recent weeks, I’ve written about some trades the Braves should consider, especially trades that will shore up the bullpen. While the Braves system is rather short on quality prospects right now, there are a few who could pique the interest of other teams and bring back a solid return.

    After the draft last week, we re-ranked the top prospects in the Braves system and included the team's 2014 first-round pick Braxton Davidson as the No. 6 prospect. His season probably won’t start for another week or two, so we’ll remove him from our list here until he’s appeared in some professional games.

    The No. 8 prospect, Mauricio Cabrera, is still on the disabled list, so we’ve also replaced him on our watch list with the next prospect in line.

     

    Season stats are courtesy of FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference and accurate as of June 14. Weekly stats run from June 8 through June 14 and are taken from Minor League Central.

No 12 Prospect: Kyle Kubitza, 3B, Double-A Mississippi

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    Carlos Osorio/Associated Press

    Last Week

    5-for-21 (.238), 1 2B, 1 3B, 5 BB, 7 K

     

    Overview

    The newest addition to the list struggled a bit this week, but on the season he’s doing essentially what he’s done at the lower levels over the past two seasons.

    The best way to think of Kubitza in terms of major league potential is to think of Chris Johnson with a better walk rate. Prospects are never a sure thing, but Kubitza has continued to post the same above-average numbers at every level he’s played.

    His presence in the system and that the he is potentially only a year away from the Majors begs the question of why the Braves deemed it necessary to sign Johnson to a long-term contract. Being a near-carbon copy of Johnson also gives him a bit of trade value.

     

    2014 Stats

    .287/.394/.426, .382 BABIP, 23.7 K%, 14.9 BB%

     

    Stock: Even

No. 11 Prospect: Victor Reyes, OF, Low-A Rome

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    CB Wilkins

    Last Week

    5-for-26 (.192), 1 BB, 9 K, 1 SB

     

    Overview

    Reyes’ stock continues to tumble. While he’s still just 19-years-old and getting his first taste of full-season ball, he’s slumped terribly over the past month.

    From late April to mid-May, Reyes put together a 17-game hitting streak, batting .476 during that span. In the 24 games since the end of that streak, he’s hit .149.

     

    2014 Stats

    .284/.331/.323, .342 BABIP, 16.2 K%, 6.3 BB%

     

    Stock: Down

No. 10 Prospect: Aaron Northcraft, SP, Double-A Mississippi

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    USA TODAY Sports

    Last Week

    1 GS, 0-1, 7.0 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 7 K

     

    Overview

    It was another good start this week for Northcraft, but his offense couldn’t reward him with a win. Furthermore, those seven innings were the most he had pitched in any start this season, and he also reached a season-high of 95 pitches.

    Northcraft would be a good mid-level prospect to include in a trade. He’s a sinker-baller, but he can also strike people out. He profiles as a mid-to-back-of-the-rotation starter in the Majors—basically a poor man’s Tim Hudson.

     

    2014 Stats

    10 GS, 7-3, 2.84 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.88 FIP, .220 BAA

     

    Stock: Up

No. 9 Prospect: Wes Parsons, SP, High-A Lynchburg

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    CB Wilkins

    Last Week

    1 GS, 0-1, 6.1 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 1 HR, 1 BB, 3 K

     

    Overview

    Parsons is a strike-thrower with the lowest BB/9 (1.88) on this list, and it is also one of the lowest rates of any pitcher in the Braves system.

    He is under-valued as a prospect, but if he continues to put up numbers like this, that will change.

     

    2014 Stats

    12 GS, 4-3, 3.76 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 3.17 FIP, .243 BAA

     

    Stock: Even

No. 7 Prospect: Victor Caratini, C/3B, Low-A Rome

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    CB Wilkins

    Last Week

    4-for-22 (.182), 1 2B, 1 HR, 2 BB, 4 K

     

    Overview

    It was a slow week for Caratini, but he managed to smack his third homer of the year.

    Caratini’s stats this year are similar to last season’s, with the notable exception of his walk rate. While his 7.2 walk percentage is not bad, it’s half of last year’s 15.9 walk percentage. Last year’s number is probably a little high, though hopefully this year’s number is a bit low, and ultimately he’ll post a walk rate somewhere in the middle.

     

    2014 Stats

    .288/.346/.387, .347 BABIP, 17.9 K%, 7.2 BB%

     

    Stock: Even

No. 5 Prospect: Jose Peraza, 2B, High-A Lynchburg

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    Carlos Osorio/Associated Press

    Last Week

    14-for-33 (.424), 2 2B, 4 K, 5 SB

     

    Overview

    Right now Peraza is probably the hottest hitting prospect in the Braves system and the one with possibly the best trade value. He’s currently riding a 14-game hitting streak, during which he’s hitting .426/.444/.656—with three doubles, a home run and four triples.

    Peraza has played a couple of games at shortstop over the past week. He was primarily a shortstop last season and has both the range and arm to stay there. The Braves moved him to second base because Andrelton Simmons is firmly entrenched at short in Atlanta, but Peraza's trade value is higher as a shortstop.

    Now that Peraza is blocked at short by Simmons and at second base by Tommy La Stella, the Braves may shop him to any potential trading partners.

     

    2014 Stats

    .342/.365/.452, .376 BABIP, 10.7 K%, 3.3 BB%

     

    Stock: Up

No. 4 Prospect: Jason Hursh, SP, Double-A Mississippi

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    Alex Brandon/Associated Press

    Last Week

    1 GS, ND, 5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 2 K

     

    Overview

    It was another good week for Hursh, who looks like he’s turning things around after a spotty May. He has a 1.42 ERA over his past three starts.

    He got back to his extreme ground-ball ways this week, inducing 12 groundouts to just four flyouts. When he’s getting groundouts in excess of flyouts, that is when he’s most effective.

     

    2014 Stats

    13 GS, 5-4, 3.44 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 3.71 FIP, .271 BAA

     

    Stock: Up

No. 3 Prospect: J.R. Graham, SP, Double-A Mississippi

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    Alex Brandon/Associated Press

    Last Week

    1 GS, ND, 5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 2 K

     

    Overview

    This week makes two good starts in a row for Graham.

    The Braves have not let Graham throw more than 77 pitches in any start this season. They are clearly protecting the young flame-thrower after he missed most of last season with a shoulder injury.

    We’ll keep a close eye throughout the season to see if they increase his pitch count.

     

    2014 Stats

    14 GS, 1-3, 4.61 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 3.38 FIP, .264 BAA

     

    Stock: Up

No. 2 Prospect: Christian Bethancourt, C, Triple-A Gwinnett

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    USA TODAY Sports

    Last Week

    10-for-25 (.400), 1 2B, 1 BB, 3 K

     

    Overview

    In addition to a hot week last week, Bethancourt has a 12-game hitting streak working. His bat is finally starting to play well against Triple-A competition.

    Now that Evan Gattis has firmly established himself as an everyday catcher in the majors, Bethancourt may be expendable in a trade. With his good hitting recently, his prospect stock in any potential trade should be greatly increased.

    He began the season on most top-100 prospect lists. At mid-season, we should see him work his way into some top-50 prospect lists.

     

    2014 Stats

    .269/.298/.368, .313 BABIP, 16.6 K%, 3.9 BB%

     

    Stock: Up

No. 1 Prospect: Lucas Sims, SP, High-A Lynchburg

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    Dave Tulis/Associated Press

    Last Week

    1 GS, 0-1, 1.0 IP, 1 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 1 HBP

     

    Overview

    An hour-long rain delay chased Sims in the second inning of his start last week. Still, he had a rough first inning and was in trouble in the second inning before the game was suspended.

    Sims has had a very rough go of it lately, and he was already having a disappointing season. There’s something to be said for Sims simply working his way through a season, however, regardless of the results.

    If the scouts are to be believed, then the talent is there for Sims; it will just take time for him to hone that talent.

     

    2014 Stats

    14 GS, 5-4, 5.00 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 5.27 FIP, .243 BAA

     

    Stock: Down

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