Warriors Draft Day Analysis: TBD
The Warriors 2009 draft can be summed up in one word; uncertainty. I have to give the Warriors an incomplete grade on last night since the rumors surrounding their top pick Stephen Curry are never ending.
So far, Curry is still a Warrior but he has been told not to unpack his bags as he could be shipped to Phoenix along with Andris Biedrins and some combo of Kelenna Azubuike, Marco Belinelli, Brandan Wright in a deal that would land the Warriors Amare Stoudemire.
Seeing how no one really knows what will happen, I have decided to lay out four possible scenarios that could result from last night’s pick.
1) The Warriors keep Curry and don't trade for Stoudemire
If we do this, Warriors fans can expect more of the same from last season. Curry is a solid player, but he is not a significant upgrade at any position.
Curry is a young combo guard who can shoot on a team chalked full of young combo guards who can shoot.
If the plan was to keep the pick all along, then Jordan Hill would have made more sense at this spot. Hill would have allowed us to maximize Randolph's potential by moving him to the 3 where the two could team up with Biedrins at the 5.
This would give the Warriors the option of playing three athletic, long big men who can board up and play D on the floor at the same time. Please don’t tell me they already have that with Wright because I believe it is safe to say that he is turning into a bust and a backup.
Small ball doesn't work, and the Warriors have a glaring need for more rebounding and interior toughness. Hill would have been an immediate upgrade with long-term potential.
2) Golden State trades Curry along with Biedrins and Azubuike, Belinelli or Wright for Stoudemire, but fail to sign him to a long term extension.
I don't care what anyone says, Stoudemire is a legit superstar who would fit in perfectly with GS. He has had knee problems in the past, but he made a full recovery last season only to be sidelined by a detached retina.
Stoudemire is only 26 and should be force for at least 4-5 more years. If partnered with Ellis and Jackson, he would instantly make the Warriors a playoff team and player in the West.
Amare is only being shopped by Phoenix because they trying to dump salary in order to rebuild and Biedrins, Curry, et al. are great pieces for them to build around.
That being said, it is way too much to give up for a rental. If Golden State pulls the trigger on the deal and Stoudemire opts out after next season, the Warriors will be stuck in a long rebuilding mode without a center or lottery pick and with two aging vets in Maggette and Jackson at the 2 and 3.
3) The Warriors trade Curry along with Biedrins et al. for Stoudemire and sign him to a long term extension.
In order to get Stoudemire to agree to an extension, Golden State will have to make it a max offer of 5 years 95 million.
The Warriors can offer Stoudemire exactly what wants; an up-tempo style offense centered around him that would be more focused on scoring buckets then preventing them.
He would be the face of a franchise that has the talent to both win now and in the future. Despite this, Amare might not want to be on a team with a losing history, and he may opt to try his hand at free agency where he could choose where he plays.
However, if GS manages to sign him and team him up with Monta, Randolph and Jackson, Warrior fans would be able to see a playoff team for at least the next few seasons.
4) Golden State trades Biedrins along with Wright, Azubuike and Belinelli for Stoudemire and they get to keep Curry.
This would be the best of all worlds. If they could get Amare to agree to an extension as part of the deal, Larry Riley would forever be endeared by Warrior fans.
This may be a bit of a pipe-dream as the Arizona Republic reported that th deal may have been contingent upon Curry being available at the seven spot.
However, if the Warriors could manage to hang onto him (and it’s a big if), they would be ready to make a deep run into the playoffs with a strong balance of young players, star players, and experienced players.
This would also give GS a future core of Ellis, Curry, Randolph, and Stoudemire making them a mainstay in the playoffs for years to come.
As I said before, this may be unrealistic, but if the Suns get desperate enough you never know. For now though Warrior fans must sit, wait, and hope that Larry Riley’s tenure as GM will start with a positive change and not a familiar process.
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