New York Giants Reader Mailbag: Final Pre-Draft Thoughts Edition

Patricia TrainaFeatured Columnist IVApril 30, 2014

Prince Amukamara
Prince AmukamaraChris Trotman/Getty Images

Is it me, or does anyone else feel like this long wait before the draft is like sitting in a car with an impatient child asking, “Are we there yet? Are we there yet?”

The good news is when I say we’re almost there, I mean it.

Of course “almost” only counts in horseshoes, or so I’ve been told, so those of us who are eagerly anticipating the NFL Draft will have to wait another week before it all unfolds.

In the meantime, here’s another pre-draft mailbag, which will be our last pre-draft mailbag.

You know, just in case you really do need evidence that we truly are almost there.

 

Tim, I’m of the belief that Ryan Nassib really didn’t put much on film last summer to convince a team one way or another that he isn’t worth something.

I also think for those of you who might think Nassib stinks, that you truly can’t judge him on his limited snaps last summer because of the offensive line situation.

With that all said, yes, you can argue that Nassib is an unknown and that he might not have any value to a team.

The question is if Nassib’s college film is on par or better than some of the prospects in this year’s quarterbacks class, which, with the exception of maybe two guys, doesn’t exactly knock my socks off.

So yes, I do think Nassib has trade value—maybe not enough to help the Giants move up in the first round, but I’d be curious to see if they do try to move him in order to jump up a few slots in the second round. 

 

You don’t have to ask me twice about Zack Martin, who I think is a safe pick in that first round. I’m not sure where you’re drawing your comparisons between Martin and Justin Pugh—they’re two different players.

However, I do think that Martin has a promising future in the NFL as Pugh.

 

Kevin, I think it’s too soon to say for sure.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 17:  Jordy Nelson #87 of the Green Bay Packers collides with Will Hill #25 of the New York Giants as  Jon Beason #52 of the Giants stands by in the second half at MetLife Stadium on November 17, 2013 in East Rutherford, New
Elsa/Getty Images

Remember, the Giants haven’t officially announced anything regarding Will Hill, and it's my guess that they won’t until such time that the appeal process is completed.

Until we have something concrete from the team, it would be unfair to speculate at this point about Hill’s future.

 

Great question, Steven. My understanding is that about five picks or so before the Giants go on the clock, they have a discussion about the prospects that might be there when their turn comes up and that everyone is allowed to give input regarding the pros and cons of each potential pick.

In the end, Marc Ross and Jerry Reese have the final say.

However, if Coughlin and/or Ben McAdoo (or Perry Fewell if we’re talking defense) really feel strongly about a certain type of player, I’m sure their input would resonate with those who actually decide on the pick.   

 

Zac, before I answer the question, let’s look at some numbers.

First, per NJ.com., it would cost the Giants $6.89 million for the 2015 season if they do pick up the option.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 06:  DeSean Jackson #10 of the Philadelphia Eagles carries the ball as  Prince Amukamara #20 of the New York Giants defends at MetLife Stadium on October 6, 2013 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.The Philadelphia Eagles defeated
Elsa/Getty Images

Per Over the Cap, the Giants are paying new cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie an average of $7 million per season.

So while Prince Amukamara’s 2015 salary (assuming the option is picked up) would be a little lower than Rodgers-Cromartie’s cap figure, does it really make sense for the Giants to pay their No. 2 cornerback on par with the man that head coach Tom Coughlin, per NJ.com, has already said is going to be assigned to cover the opponent’s No. 1 receiver all over the field?

The second thing to understand about Amukamara is that his performance numbers actually dipped from 2012 to 2013 in a few key areas, as shown in the following table: 

Prince Amukamara: 2012 vs. 2013
20122013
Percentage of Passes Completed52.464.9%
INTs11
Passes Defensed48
Yards After the Catch114211
NFL Rating74.587.7
Source: Pro Football Reference (subscription required)

Based on this data, Amukamara recognized a 12.5 percent difference in the number of passes he allowed to be completed against him.

He also gave up almost double the number of yards after the catch and saw his overage rating, which remember the lower for a defender the better, jump up by 13.2 points. 

Given those two factors, which would indicate that he regressed a bit rather than improved from 2012 to 2013, it’s easy to see why the Giants haven’t jumped all over picking up Amukamara’s fifth-year option.  

It wouldn’t surprise me if they decide to try to negotiate a new deal with him at a lower average per year (APY) rate than Rodgers-Cromartie given that the former is the No. 2 cornerback while the latter has already been designated as the No. 1 guy.

 

Thanks for the question Alex. While I wouldn’t rule out the Giants moving up in the draft, I don’t think they have enough ammunition to jump up to No. 6, which would put them ahead of Tampa Bay.

You’d probably be talking about having to give up a player and perhaps a second-round pick to get up that high, and I just don’t see the Giants trading away that all-important second-round pick, not with all the needs they still have to address.

 

This last question came from several readers about whether I think the Giants are going to draft North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron.

I’ll be unveiling my final mock draft Tuesday. However, as of right now, no, I don’t think the Giants are going to draft Eric Ebron because I’m not so sure he’s going to fall to No. 12, nor do I think they’d trade up to get him.