Analyzing the Experts' Predictions for the NY Giants in Round 1 of the NFL Draft

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Analyzing the Experts' Predictions for the NY Giants in Round 1 of the NFL Draft
Gail Burton
ESPN's Mel Kiper, Jr.

One of the most intriguing things about the annual NFL draft is also one of the most frustrating things about it.

Yup, mock drafts.

It seems that every analyst has a different opinion as to how teams should draft, especially in the first round.

Sometimes these opinions change based on what a team does in the first two stages of free agency while some analysts lock in on a prospect for a team, regardless. When the draft class is deep in talent, as this year’s class is, trying to forecast what each team will do in the first round is even more challenging.

I’ve long been of the opinion that teams don’t always view their needs the same way as analysts, reporters and fans.

Want proof? Look at how last year the New York Giants, whom many people on the outside believed were in dire need of a linebacker, traded up to get a backup quarterback (Ryan Nassib), about whom general manager Jerry Reese told reporters, "If he doesn't ever play, that would be great."  

Go on. Raise your hand if you saw that coming. 

Beside how they view their personnel needs, teams often have a different take on the value of some of the big-named prospects who consistently make headlines around this time of year.

For instance, players who are thought to be blue-chip first-round prospects have gone later than initially projected. Anyone remember how current New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith was projected as a first-round talent but who actually fell into the second round?  

Despite the hits and misses by analysts—the deeper the talent pool, the likelier there will be more misses—it's still fun to take a look at what others have to say about the draft.

That's what I've done in this slide show. I've looked at the projections of several NFL draft analysts who have published or updated mocks since April 1, and I've honed in on what they think the Giants will do in the first round.

But wait, there's more. I've also analyzed picks of these experts, making an argument for and against the pick. Lastly, I've closed this slide show with the player whom I would choose for the Giants if I were the team's general manager and this player were sitting there when I went on the clock at No. 12. 

There's a lot to cover, so let's get started.

Oh, and don't forget to mock away!

 

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