Cotto vs Clottey Post-Fight Analysis
I don't have all the numbers just yet (it's only 1:45AM) but I've already watched the fight twice - and changed my mind after watching the fight again. I'll break it up in thirds:
ROUNDS One through Four:
Through the first four rounds both fighters had about the same amount of power punches (Clottey had one more) and, undeniably, Clottey won the most part of rounds one and two while Cotto won three and four.
The difference? The knockdown. Clottey had slightly more connects but the big difference in the stat was round 1, which was completely erased from Clottey's column by the knock down.
Cotto 39-Clottey 36
ROUNDS Five through Eight:
Cotto started the fifth very concerned about the bleeding left eye and Clottey took advantage. Clottey obviously doesn't respond well while cornered so when Cotto did get him in the red corner with the quick juke Clottey tried to headlock him and got on his shoulders. I'm just sad that Cotto didn't slam him harder. Go to round six.
Clottey was backed into his own corner for most of the last two minutes of the round (from 1:48 to 0:11 to be precise).
I could very well see a judge giving Cotto the round 10-8 since he landed as many power punches in this frame as he did in the first three rounds altogether, but Clottey did fight back in the end to avoid a clear 10-8 round for his opponent.
Clottey completely dominated rounds seven and eight. Cotto was obviously increasingly bothered by the left eye; unable to see Clottey's right hand coming. Clottey connected 23 power punches in round eight compared to Cotto's 10.
Clottey 39-Cotto 37
ROUNDS Nine through 12:
Rounds Nine and 10 were a repeat of seven and eight and where Clottey built up most of the 43 punch differential overall.
In the championship rounds Cotto didn't change the offense much but blocked most of Clottey's power shots—as the eye bleeding subsided—while getting in with his (19-19 punch-count) and landing the harder blows.
Cotto just danced and stung with a few good uppercuts in frame No. 12 while Clottey completely forgot how to throw a punch. Clottey's horrible acting trying to get the ref to take a point off Cotto not once but twice, tells me he was worried about the cards, especially since he was having trouble finding Cotto in the end.
Cotto 38-Clottey 38
At six rounds a piece—and with Clottey's knockdown—I saw Cotto win 114-113 the second time around, just like Lederman had it.
A couple of things:
1. Whoever gave this fight to Cotto 116-111 should never, ever judge again. EVER!
2. Cotto gets props for not trying to get the fight stopped right after the fourth when he had a really good chance of getting away just with a deep cut, a short night and the win.
3. Don't be fooled by Clottey's utter dominance in rounds seven through 10. These four rounds accounted for over 90 percent of the huge lead for Clottey on the punch count. The fight had eight more rounds of which Cotto won six and during one of those Clottey got put on his ass and during another one he was backed into a corner for two minutes.
I respect your opinion if you think that Clottey won, I even saw him win it at first, but you can't say that there's no way Cotto didn't win it.
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