Projected BCS Rankings 2013: Week 14 Top 25 BCS Standings Predictions

And then there are three.

As another undefeated team bites the dust—this time it's Baylor getting blown out by Oklahoma State, 49-17—the BCS title game picture actually is becoming more and less clear at the same time. More clear because without question No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Florida State will face each other if they both win out. Less clear because if either team should lose, it can potentially bring a one-loss team back into the picture.

For now, Ohio State is projected to be a solid No. 3 in the next BCS standings, and it's extremely unlikely that the Buckeyes will fall behind any one-loss team, even if that's a one-loss SEC champion Auburn or Missouri. They will be getting a major boost if Michigan State can defeat Minnesota next week and arrive at the Big Ten title game at 11-1 and ranked in the Top 10.

But that's where the intrigue comes in. Michigan State has the potential to defeat Ohio State, and if Alabama and/or FSU should stumble in the next two weeks, what then?

Rank	Team	Record	Conference	Pvs
1	Alabama	11-0	SEC	1
2	Florida State	11-0	ACC	2
3	Ohio State	11-0	Big Ten	3
4	Auburn	10-1	SEC	6
5	Clemson	10-1	ACC	7
6	Missouri	10-1	SEC	8
7	Oklahoma State	10-1	Big 12	10
8	Stanford	9-2	Pac-12	9
9	South Carolina	9-2	SEC	11
10	Michigan State	10-1	Big Ten	13
11	Baylor	9-1	Big 12	4
12	Oregon	9-2	Pac-12	5
13	Arizona State	9-2	Pac-12	17
14	Wisconsin	9-2	Big Ten	19
15	LSU	8-3	SEC	22
16	Fresno State	10-0	MWC	15
17	Northern Illinois	11-0	MAC	16
18	Central Florida	9-1	AAC	18
19	Louisville	10-1	AAC	21
20	Oklahoma	9-2	Big 12	20
21	Texas A&M	8-3	SEC	12
22	USC	9-3	Pac-12	23
23	Duke	9-2	ACC	NR
24	UCLA	8-3	Pac-12	14
25	Georgia	7-4	SEC	NR

At Nos. 4-6 are all Tigers—Auburn, Clemson, Missouri, in that order. While it’s unlikely for Auburn to jump Ohio State without a Buckeyes loss, the Plain Tigers will be the one-loss team most likely to play in the BCS title game if they can win the Iron Bowl and then the SEC title game. The Mizzou Tigers can usurp that position by beating Texas A&M next week and then the Iron Bowl winner the week after.

The Death Valley Tigers are the least likely to get to the BCS title game, especially if Florida State remains undefeated. The voters will have no appetite for an ACC rematch of a game the Seminoles won decisively on the road. Oklahoma State will have a better chance to play in the BCS title game than Clemson if it beats Oklahoma in Bedlam and finishes 11-1.

The rest of the teams will be jockeying for BCS bowl berths, and losses by Baylor, Oregon and Texas A&M have shaken things up a bit. But all the potential BCS matchups will be affected by whether there will be a non-AQ team crashing the party.

Since both Fresno State and Northern Illinois won, the situation will remain status quo, with the Bulldogs maintaining their lead in the standings, though the Huskies will cut into that a bit this week. But with NIU facing woeful Western Michigan next week, it's still very much Fresno's BCS bid to lose. If the Bulldogs can defeat San Jose State next week and then win the Mountain West championship game, they'll earn a Fiesta Bowl berth.

Bowl	Matchup
BCS Championship	Alabama vs. Florida State
Rose Bowl	Ohio State vs. Stanford
Orange Bowl	Clemson vs. Baylor
Sugar Bowl	Missouri vs. Central Florida
Fiesta Bowl	Oklahoma State vs. Fresno State

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