Nuggets-Lakers: Analyzing Denver's Chances of Winning

Kaden PiersonContributor IMay 27, 2009

DENVER - MAY 25:  J.R. Smith #1 of the Denver Nuggets dunks the ball over Andrew Bynum #17 of the Los Angeles Lakers in Game Four of the Western Conference Finals during the 2009 NBA Playoffs at Pepsi Center on May 25, 2009 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Larry W. Smith-Pool/Getty Images)

Where should I start with the Denver Nuggets?

First, the Nuggets are a hot and cold team.

Let's put it this way—when they can hit shots, they win. (Easy for me to say when I'm not playing Kobe Bryant and the L.A. Lakers.)

Second, one ofthe main reasons that the Nuggets were able to blow out the Lakers in Game Four by 19 points was offensive rebounding. The Nuggets had three players collect double-digit rebounds—and half came from the offensive side.

The most important thing the Denver Nuggets can do to win this game is stay out of foul trouble  In Game Three, Melo fouled out and the Lakers beat them by six. In Game Four, nobody fouled out and the Nuggets won by 19!

It's obvious the Nuggets have an advantage when their stars shine on the court—and they must have the same performance they had in Game Four to beat the Lakers on their home court.

Now let's get down to individuals. Nene needs to control Gasol or Bynum down low—he cant give up 15-foot jump shots every night.  The Nuggets need to put someone on Kobe Bryant who won't trip him and get a flagrant foul. I suggest Carmelo Anthony, who has been solid on defense.

With that being said, Chauncy, JR, Melo, and Nene have to step up for Denver to have any shot at taking the Western Conference Finals. I have faith that if the Nuggets hit their shots, get offensive boards, and stay out of foul trouble, they will advance to the NBA Finals.