Week 6 NFL Picks: Predicting Top Bets Against the Spread

Alex KayCorrespondent IOctober 12, 2013

Aug 24, 2013; Jacksonville, FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Justin Blackmon (14) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the first quarter of their game against the Philadelphia Eagles at EverBank Field. Mandatory Credit: Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports
Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Giants covered the eight-point spread in their Thursday night game against the Chicago Bears, rewarding backers that stuck with Big Blue despite their ineptitude this season.

Regardless of whether or not you were on the winning side of that bet—hopefully you were, as I picked them to cover in my column earlier in the week—it’s time to get back to the sportsbook and dive into the thick of the Week 6 schedule.

Sunday’s slate is packed with great games, so let’s take a gander at the latest spreads, my picks for the winners of each and a closer look at two teams sure to cover the spread.


St. Louis Rams (+7.5) over HOUSTON TEXANS

ST. LOUIS, MO - OCTOBER 6: John Cyprien #37 of the Jacksonville Jaguars tackles Chris Givens #13 of the St. Louis Rams at the Edward Jones Dome on October 6, 2013 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

The Rams haven’t exactly lived up to their lofty expectations coming into the 2013 campaign, but they could be on their way to turning things around.

St. Louis got a much-needed win against the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars last week and could parlay that momentum into an upset of the collapsing Texans.

Matt Schaub will remain under center in Houston, despite the fact that he recently made history by throwing a pick-six in four straight games. He’s almost guaranteed to toss the Rams six easy points and bail them out at some point with a costly turnover.

It’ll certainly be an interesting battle between two squads that each have plenty of weaknesses, which is why the outcome will definitely be closer than linemakers are projecting.

Don’t be surprised if a late field goal ends up deciding the victor, which makes taking the points a no-brain decision to bet big.


Jacksonville Jaguars (+26.5) over DENVER BRONCOS

The Jags opened up as 28-point underdogs, tying the largest point spread in league history. While there is no doubt that the Broncos are going decimate Jacksonville in every facet of the game, there is a strong possibility that Denver does not cover.

Of the 10 largest spreads in NFL history, the favorite has covered only two times. There are just too many things that could go wrong for the Broncos in this situation, especially if they get too far ahead early in the contest.

Remember, despite Jacksonville’s utter failures in 2013, the roster is stocked with paid professionals. These men have pride and a desire to succeed, despite the overwhelming odds.

If the Broncos go up big, there is a distinct possibility that head coach John Fox pulls his starters. He’s not playing to beat the spread, he’s playing to win the game and remain undefeated.

Once the game is out of reach, the Jags could easily pile on a few quick scores against replacement-level defenders and achieve a backdoor cover.

It’s a likely outcome and one worth betting on, so take the massive underdog in this unique situation.