Michael Vick is expected to be released from prison and into house arrest on Wednesday, where he will serve two months and is expected to be free in July.
The new innovation called the Wildcat and the fact that he is only 29 years old makes him a hot commodity in the NFL.
Remember the trade that made Michael Vick the first overall pick in the 2001 draft?
Remember how good he looked coming out of Virginia Tech, running a 4.3 40 yard dash, with a rocket of an arm?
Remember the commitment the Falcons made him giving him a 10 year, $130 million deal?
Remember him beating Brett Favre and the Green Bay Packers at Green Bay in the playoffs?
The man did win games.
Well, Vick is 29 years old and has not been hit in two years, which in my mind is an advantage once he gets used to getting hit in practice because you don’t have to worry about his age.
You have to think he is still in good shape. Maybe his weight has changed, but he still has great size and is a great athlete.
The first question is, will he be reinstated and will he serve a suspension?
He will be reinstated and he will not be suspended.
Tony Dungy sat down with Vick to talk about Michael Vick, the person. The rumor is that Dungy will recommend Vick to be reinstated without a suspension to Roger Goodell.
Goodell will sit down with Vick after Vick is released from his house arrest to talk about his future; Goodell will want to see some “genuine remorse” from Vick.
Then Goodell will have to make the tough decision whether to reinstate him and suspend him or not suspend him and have him reinstated. Ultimately I think Goodell will make the right decision and reinstate him without suspension since Vick has paid his debt to society.
The second question is, what position he will play?
Some people will say let him play quarterback, some will say running back because of his great speed, and some people will say corner or slot receiver because of great combination of speed and size.
Vick will have to work hard to get back to NFL form in terms of getting hit and his body strength.
He has always had one of the strongest arms in the NFL, but some people say he never succeeded in terms of being a drop back passer.
His last NFL snap was December 31, 2006. His best year in terms of passing stats was in 2002, where he passed 2,936 yards with 16 TDs and 8 picks. In 2006, he passed for 2,474 passing yards with 20 TDs and 13 picks.
He is a three-time Pro Bowler with a career 75.7 QB rating, but if he were to come into the league right now, he would still be the best quarterback to run the Wildcat offense.
However, this depends what team he goes to and whether the wildcat is a trend or a fad.
The third question is whether there will be any interest in Vick assuming he is reinstated without a suspension.
Vick might have to prove himself in the CFL or the new football league, the AAFL, that is bound to fail before Vick can come back to the NFL.
However, I can see Al Davis taking a chance on Vick since he is obsessed with strong armed quarterbacks and speed. Possibly Jerry Jones will bring in a quarterback who can run the Wildcat, although the Cowboys have denied any interest in Vick.
Also, a team that is struggling to put fans in the seats like the Buffalo Bills would consider Vick. They brought in T.O., and with Vick, they could possibly end rumors of the Bills going to Toronto.
I would suggest the Buccaneers since they currently do not have a legit quarterback, plus they play Atlanta twice a year.
Vick would fill the seats with people who wish to see him succeed and people who wish to see him fail.
The Falcons still own the rights to Vick and tried to trade Vick for a late round pick on draft day but obviously they failed to do that.
Now that Matt Ryan has become the face of the Falcons' franchise, the city of Atlanta has forgotten Michael Vick, and it is inevitable that Vick will be released allowing him to sign with any team.
Ultimately, it will be interesting to see how this plays out. I am a firm believer in second chances, and I believe that Vick should be wearing an NFL uniform in 2009.
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