Three Reasons Why the Cavs Will Win...and Three Reasons Why They'll Lose: Part Two

Roughly ten months ago, I wrote a column before the NBA Finals. It was called “3 Reasons Why the Cavs Will Win (And 3 Reasons Why We’ll Lose)” and I started it by stating my belief that the Cavs would win the series in six games.

Umm, yeah.

That’s why I tend to shy away from predictions with my teams, particularly when I’m all emotional after stomping the Pistons in the Eastern Conference Finals. Consider it a lesson learned.

Still, with just four regular season games left and the Cavs holding a tenuous two-game lead on the fourth spot, I figured I’d take another stab at this whole “3 Reasons Why” article.

(Scott’s Disclaimer: I take absolutely no responsibility for anything that happens to the Cleveland Cavaliers franchise in the impending NBA postseason. Unless they win it all. Thanks.)

Three Reasons Why the Cavs Will Win This Postseason:

3. Experience – Every key player in the rotation has at least some postseason experience. Ben Wallace and Devin Brown have rings. Most of the key guys—LeBron, Boobie, Andy, Z and DJ—played together as a unit in the last two postseason runs.

The coaching staff also got their feet wet and learned what it takes to overcome adversity—an 0-2 deficit in the EC Finals—and reach the championship.

2. Home Court Advantage – The Cavs are 26-13 at home this season. If the playoffs were to start today, the Cavs would face the Wizards, who won both match ups at the Q this year and went 3-0 against them (including playoffs) last year in the Q.

The Cavs also defeated potential second round opponent Boston twice at home this season. The Cavs are 11-2 at home against EC teams in the postseason the past two years.

1. LeBron – This really requires no explanation.

And now, the three reasons why I don’t think the Cavs will win this postseason:

3. Coaching – Mike Brown can’t manage a rotation.

Damon Jones actually plays well and gets almost entirely yanked for Boobie, who has struggled in his return. Sasha not only played, but was in the starting rotation, well after he proved his ineffectiveness.

And not only has the team not improved on the offensive end, their defense has gotten worse.

Often times, Brown has the same expression on his face that I would have if I was trying to solve a nuclear physics equation. But other than all of that, I have the utmost confidence in our coaching staff heading into the postseason.

(Look at that picture above! Look at it! That's the face of a guy who's breaking a now 44-year old championship drought in the city of Cleveland?! Really?! And the best part is, he has that expression on his face about 84 percent of the time, too.)

2. Health –

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