KU Recruiting Corner: When Will KU Start Seeing More Commits?

C.W. O'BrienCorrespondent IMay 10, 2009

LAWRENCE, KS - SEPTEMBER 22:  Head coach Mark Mangino of the Kansas Jayhawks calls players into a huddle during a timeout in the game against the Florida International Golden Panthers on September 22, 2007 at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Kansas.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
As a self-proclaimed recruiting guru, I follow recruiting. I track trends. I pay attention to visitation days. It gives me something to do.

I love seeing players commit to KU. Once that happens I can start picturing them in the uniform, figuring out where they fall on the hypothetical depth chart that exists in my head, guessing who will redshirt or change positions, etc. If there are no new recruits, I can't do this and I get bored.

Since the mad dash of three recruits in four days, I've been pretty bored. Don't get me wrong, I am still very excited about all three of them and the potential that they have at the University of Kansas. But, I am bored.

I had a lot of free time on my hands today, so I tracked the recruiting productivity of the coaching staff over the last four years. These stats reflect the timing of recruiting for the coaches as well. I have no idea how these trends compare on a national level...to be honest I have a lot of free time today, but not that much.
Here is what I found:

1) Statistically the three most productive months are June, December, and January. That trend continues over the last two years as well.

2) The three least productive months are July, August, and September. Like the more productive months, this trend continued over the last two years.

3) The most productive month in the four year span was December 2005 (Class of 2006) where KU signed nine recruits.

4) The most productive months in the last two years came in June of 2008 and December 2008, both with six commits for the Class of 2009.

5) Over the last four years a whopping 54.3 percent of all KU signees committed to the Jayhawks after the completion of their senior football season.

6) There has been a drastic increase in the percentage of early commits (28.8 percent up from 9.7 percent) over the last two years compared to the Classes of 2006 and 2007. An early commit being a player that commits before the end of June going into their senior year of high school.

7) The average star rating (Rivals) of KU commits has increased from 2.7 Stars (2006-2007) to 3.09 Stars (2008-2009).

What does all of this mean?

Basically it all comes down to KU being more productive in the months where potential targets have the ability to visit the campus and the coaching staff (either through camps, unofficial visits, or official visits).
It also means that as the Jayhawks have improved on the field, their ability to recruit earlier in the cycle has increased the number of early commits and has led to an overall improvement in the talent level committed to play for KU.

Hopefully, if the trends hold up, it also means that I will be busy over the next six weeks pondering the impact of the four to five new commits that KU should be receiving. But who knows? These are just trends, life doesn't always go according to plan and neither does recruiting.