Belmont Stakes 2013 Post Predictions: Horses Who Will Underwhelm at Final Leg

Andrew GouldFeatured ColumnistJune 6, 2013

Can Oxbow pick up another Triple Crown win at the Belmont Stakes?
Can Oxbow pick up another Triple Crown win at the Belmont Stakes?Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

One horse will ultimately pass The Test of the Champion and win the Belmont Stakes this weekend, but that leaves 13 others who will lag behind.

The Triple Crown will culminate in its final leg this Saturday at the longest of the three races at 1.5 miles. While some of the thoroughbreds will defy expectations at the race's 145th running, others will have to clear the way and miss the mark.

Now that the official drawers have been released (as seen below in a handy table courtesy of Merv Huber), we have all the information we need to project the third and final Triple Crown showdown of 2013.

I'm not a gambling man, but if I were I'd stay away from these colts.



There's nowhere to go but down for Oxbow.

Anything short of first place will be considered a disappointment, so the odds are in favor of Oxbow falling below sky-high expectations.

After ruining Orb’s chances of vying for a Triple Crown, Oxbow will look to take two out of three.

The shorter track worked to his advantage at the Preakness, but the sprinter might not handle the longer field all too well.

Throw in an unfavorable seventh starting position and trainer D. Wayne Lukas’ lack of Belmont success, and Oxbow is not the best bet to cross the finish line first.


Frac Daddy

A cozy starting spot helps, but it's not everything.

Before quickly glancing at the draw and putting it all on the first horse listed, take a deep breath and consider that Frac Daddy is still a heavy long shot.

Finishing 16th out of 19 competitors in the Kentucky Derby isn't leading many to saddle on the Frac Daddy bandwagon, and a lack of success running longer distances does not bode well for him either.

Frac Daddy's top finishes have come on one-and-one-sixteenth-mile tracks, so there's little evidence to support him adjusting well at Belmont.

A rousing display from Frac Daddy would provide tremendous dividends for bettors and a great underdog tale to tell, but it's still wildly unrealistic. Don't let that prime starting position fool you into thinking the same number finish is plausible.


Unlimited Budget

Come on, there has to be some limit.  

Todd Pletcher's filly has rapidly climbed the ranks to become one of the main contenders at the Run for the Carnations. A female has not captured first since Rags to Riches proved that name correct in 2007, so Unlimited Budget is emerging as the sentimental pick.

Jockey Rosie Napravnik will also be the first female to compete in all three Triple Crown races in the same year. Not to mention, the horse also looks good in workouts.

According to Jerry Bossert of the New York Daily News, Unlimited Budget's 47.55 time in five furlongs outpaced Orb. This will likely whip many onlookers into a frenzy, but how will she fare over 1.5 miles against Orb and other favorites?

Unlimited Budget might storm out of the gates, but it could lead to a sluggish finish on this enduring track.