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NBA Lottery Odds 2013: Breaking Down Each Team's Chances to Land No. 1 Pick

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NBA Lottery Odds 2013: Breaking Down Each Team's Chances to Land No. 1 Pick
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The 2013 NBA draft lottery will take place on Tuesday night, May 21, finally cluing in the teams participating in the event as to where and in what order they will pick come June’s draft.

It’s an exciting occasion for fans as well, as they can view the results of this drawing in multiple ways, including television and live stream fashion. Finding out whether your favorite team landed a top pick can be quite a thrill, especially with some great players available at the top of this class.

Let’s take a look at where you can catch the lottery, what the odds are for each participant to win, some of the prized prospects waiting for the victors and more.

 

2013 NBA Draft Lottery Info

When: Tuesday, May 21, at 8:30 p.m. ET

Where: Disney/ABC's Times Square Studios, New York City

Watch: ESPN

Live Stream: ESPN3 (Blacked out in several states, please check coverage map here)

 

Each Team’s Chance to Land Top Pick

 Odds and trade notes courtesy of USA Today.

Team

2012-13 Record

Chance of No. 1 pick

Orlando Magic

20-62

25 percent

Charlotte Bobcats

21-61

19.9 percent

Cleveland Cavaliers

24-58

15.6 percent

Phoenix Suns

25-57

11.9 percent

New Orleans Pelicans

27-55

8.8 percent

Sacramento Kings

28-54

6.3 percent

Detroit Pistons

29-53

4.3 percent

Washington Wizards

29-53

2.8 percent

Minnesota Timberwolves

31-51

1.7 percent

Portland Trail Blazers*

33-49

1.1 percent

Philadelphia 76ers

34-48

0.8 percent

Toronto Raptors**

34-48

0.7 percent

Dallas Mavericks

41-41

0.6 percent

Utah Jazz

43-39

0.5 percent

*If Portland's pick falls outside of the top 12, it will be sent to Charlotte.

**If Toronto's pick falls outside of the top three, it will be sent to the Oklahoma City Thunder via the Houston Rockets.

 

Potential No. 1 Picks

Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

Despite an injury that may keep him sidelined through Christmas, Noel is the closest thing to a consensus top pick this class has to offer.

The Wildcats' big man is a shot-blocking phenom that already brings plenty to the table and has the potential to add much more to his game in the near future.

Noel is extremely athletic and uses his great leaping ability to sky for rebounds on both ends of the floor. He utilizes big, quick hands to come up with steals in the low post and isn’t afraid to provide quick help on a defensive rotation.

He has two major areas of concern, though, as Noel only weighed in at 206 pounds (membership required) at the combine. That’s painfully thin for a power forward prospect, let alone a center—which is the position the UK star has been listed at.

Noel is also extremely raw offensively, although his high ceiling, athleticism and non-stop motor should help him to improve rapidly in that department.

While he’s not an immediate game-changer, some work in an NBA weight room, a new diet and a lot of time in the gym will turn Noel into a starting-caliber big man that will help a contending team for years to come.

 

Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana

Oladipo is an intriguing prospect that is generating small but significant buzz as a potential top pick in the draft.

ESPN’s Chad Ford is reporting (behind Insider pay wall) that the Hoosiers star did well for himself at the combine in Chicago, measuring out better than expected, performing well during the interview process and blowing away observers with his athletic abilities.

Do you think Oladipo could go No. 1?

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A number of anonymous general managers commented that Oladipo is their favorite player and has the most upside, but none committed to having him as their No. 1 prospect on the big board.

Regardless, much could change in the next five weeks.

This young man’s defensive mindset and ability to impact a game in a positive manner without the ball in his hands are two things most teams in the lottery are looking for.

Add in the fact that he’s a freakish athlete that can knock down open shots with ease, and you are looking at a complete 2-guard in the modern NBA.

 

Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

The Wolverines point guard led his team on a magical run to the national championship game, but fell just short on the biggest stage.

Regardless, the sophomore phenom is ready to take the next step and join the Association. Burke not only thinks he’s capable, but also that he should in fact be made the No. 1 pick come June.

As per Ford (Insider only), Burke said:

I feel like I can be [the No. 1 pick], absolutely. It depends on where the [lottery] balls drop, and depending on that team's needs, I definitely feel like I can, and I won't disappoint.

Burke may not be the most athletic or possess the ideal size for the position, but he’s a proven winner that has plenty of intangibles that coaches have a hard time teaching.

Regardless, shrewd GMs will see the value and upside in having this young man on their roster, and one many even make him the top pick in the 2013 NBA draft.

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