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Andrew Thurman: Prospect Profile for Houston Astros' 2nd-Round Pick

Mike RosenbaumMLB Prospects Lead WriterDecember 26, 2016

Player: Andrew Thurman

Drafted by: Houston Astros (No. 40 Overall)

Position: RHP

DOB: 12/10/1991 (Age: 21)

Height/Weight: 6’3”/205 lbs

Bats/Throws: R/R

School: UC Irvine

Previously Drafted: N/A

 

Background

A fringe prospect coming out of high school, Thurman has shown steady improvement over each of the last three seasons and, as a result, has emerged as a likely Day 1 draft pick.

As a sophomore at UC Irvine in 2012, the right-hander made a name for himself by registering a 2.66 ERA with 68 hits allowed and 69/23 K/BB over 98 innings. However, it wasn’t until the summer that Thurman began receiving legitimate first-round draft buzz.

While pitching for the Yarmouth-Dennis Red Sox in the Cape Cod League, he gave scouts exactly what they were looking by showcasing improved fastball velocity, as well as the ability to consistently miss bats with each of his three secondary offerings.

Thurman parlayed his hugely successful 2012 campaign into a strong season back at UC Irvine, as he’s turned in the best season of his college career and strengthened his draft stock.

 

Full Scouting Report

Note: Numerical scores are on the conventional 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is average, with the current score first and projected score second.

Body/Mechanics

Solid frame at 6’3”, 205 pounds; strong core, lower half; potential innings eater; polished right-hander; consistently repeats delivery; efficient mechanics with minimal wasted energy; smooth arm circle with compact arm path; quick arm action. 

 

Fastball: 50/50

Consistently works in the 90-93 mph range deep into starts; touches 94-95 mph; fastball lacks movement and late life; commands with confidence to both sides of the plate against right- and left-handed hitters.

 

Curveball: 50/60

Thrown with tight rotation in 72-76 mph range; thrown from consistent release point; solid top-to-bottom shape with deceptive pace; not afraid to back-door left-handed hitters.

 

Slider: 50/55

Pitch has steadily improved during the 2013 season; should be a fourth average-or-better offering; throws with good pace at 80-92 mph; has become less slurve-y over last year; improved depth; will help keep hitters off curveball and changeup.

 

Changeup: 55/60

Best secondary offering; thrown with consistent, fastball-like arm speed; 77-81 mph; above-average command of the pitch; turns it over well to create late fading action out of the zone; potential plus pitch.

 

Control: 55/65

Genuine feel for four-pitch mix; around the plate with everything; confidence in each pitch to challenge hitters with aggressive sequencing.

 

Command: 55/65

Plus pitchability and feel for pitching; ability to command fastball to both sides of the plate stands out; improved feel for both breaking pitches has allowed him to spot them more consistently; features noticeable approach against right- and left-handed pitchers; high baseball IQ allows him to make adjustments to command and locations throughout game.

 

MLB Player Comparison: Gavin Floyd

 

Projection: High No. 3, low No. 4 starter; innings eater.

 

MLB ETA: Late-2015

 

Chances of Signing: 90%

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