Preakness Odds: Last-Minute Outlook for 2nd Leg of Triple Crown

Matt Fitzgerald@@MattFitz_geraldCorrespondent IIIMay 18, 2013

BALTIMORE, MD - MAY 16:  Kentucky Derby winner Orb grazes following a workout in preparation for the 138th Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course on May 16, 2013 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

The 2013 Preakness Stakes has finally arrived, and with the second leg of the Triple Crown getting underway in short order, it's worth looking at updated odds for the entire field.

One aspect that hasn't changed is that Orb is the prohibitive favorite with 10-11 odds—improved from his morning line numbers of 1-1. Betting on him at this point would actually lose money, so looking elsewhere isn't a bad idea.

New shooter Departing is just behind Mylute as the No. 3 contender, while speedy Santa Anita Derby winner Goldencents remains a threat at 8-1.

Below is a breakdown of each horse's odds as of Saturday morning, followed by more detailed analysis and predictions for the top contenders.


Post Positions and Complete Field

Post No.







Shug McGaughey

Joel Rosario




Doug O'Neill

Kevin Krigger



Titletown Five

D. Wayne Lukas

Julien Leparoux




Albert M. Stall Jr.

Brian Hernandez Jr.




Tom Amoss

Rosie Napravnik




D. Wayne Lukas

Gary Stevens



Will Take Charge

D. Wayne Lukas

Mike Smith



Govenor Charlie

Bob Baffert

Martin Garcia




Eddie Plesa Jr.

John Velazquez


*Odds via Bovada, and are current as of May 18


Orb (10-11)

Taking any sort of wagering action on Orb is obviously discouraged, but as far as his Triple Crown prospects, it's looking fairly promising.

The tandem of Hall of Fame trainer Shug McGaughey and 2013's premier jockey in Joel Rosario is going to be difficult for the other competitors to overcome. No matter what the pace is, Orb won't have trouble adjusting, as was evident in his surge to victory at the Kentucky Derby.

If all holds as planned—and it doesn't seem possible for anyone to overtake Orb as the No. 1 contender before the starting gates open—ESPN Stats and Info points out that 13 of the past 15 Preakness favorites have finished either first or second.

Orb and Rosario are the consensus pick amongst experts at this point, and that should not change as the day progresses.


Mylute (6-1)

With only two wins in 10 previous starts, it may be difficult on the surface to pick Mylute to triumph at the Preakness. However, this colt has several built-in advantages that should work in his favor.

Jockey Rosie Napravnik began her racing career at Pimlico Race Course as a 17-year-old, winning her debut there. She is looking to become the first female ever to have a triumphant mount in the Preakness Stakes.

Not only would it be a wonderful story if Napravnik found the winner's circle, but it would also be the breakthrough that many are expecting from Mylute.

If the draw is any indication, Napravnik feels she is in prime position to win:

In his five starts leading up to the Kentucky Derby, Mylute improved his speed each time out, and ran to a respectable fifth place at Churchill Downs. Perhaps in a smaller field with less traffic, he'll be able to cross the finish line first.


Departing (13-2)

Whether growing up roaming the same fields as foals with Orb benefits Departing remains to be seen, but it's a captivating, unique storyline at the very least.

Departing crushed the competition at the Grade III Illinois Derby, after a third-place finish at the Louisiana Derby made a Run for the Roses out of the question.

However, that loss was the only defeat Departing has suffered in five career starts, and it came to Mylute and winner Revolutionary, who placed third in Louisville. Once the subsequent victory happened, it became clear that Departing could run with anyone.

The upstart, relatively young team of trainer Albert M. Stall Jr. and jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. have a lot of talent between them, and Departing is a speedy horse himself.

A grueling, relatively sloppy track took a physical toll on those who ran at Churchill Downs, and Departing has a massive advantage in being fresher than his counterparts.


Goldencents (8-1)

Speaking of prospective history-making mounters, Kevin Krigger will attempt to become the first black jockey since 1898 to ride to victory in the Preakness.

It will take a much better effort from Goldencents than what he put forth in the Kentucky Derby, though. The Santa Anita Derby winner finished a disappointing 17th, which raises red flags even on a sprinter's course in Baltimore that fits Goldencents' style better.

The key will be for Krigger not to push Goldencents too early, and the pace will ideally be relatively slow in the beginning. Goldencents never recovered after falling off the ambitious pace set by Palace Malice at Churchill Downs.

With more room to operate in a nine-horse field, the traffic issues that Goldencents encountered in the first leg of the Triple Crown shouldn't be as prominent.

For a colt with the speed that Goldencents possesses, it's hard to imagine a much worse showing than two weeks ago in Louisville. Expect a bounce-back performance, but it won't likely be good enough to win the Black-Eyed Susan blanket.


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