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With everything we just covered, it will all come down to this.
You don't have to be a North Carolina expert to know the three players that will be guaranteed a starting role this fall. Paige, Hairston and McAdoo are all returning starters, and Coach Williams doesn't drop his starters very often.
He won't be sitting a point guard that fought through adversity to become the player Tar Heel fans expect at that position. Nor will he sit two stars that passed up a shot at the NBA to don Carolina Blue for one more year.
This is where things get a little tricky, though.
If Wiggins commits to UNC, I would imagine Williams would have him play the 3, while Hairston would move back to the 2. Wiggins is a very active player inside, and he isn't even close to being the shooter Hairston is.
But if Wiggins doesn't commit, that will bring a couple more options to the table. Hairston could start at small forward and McDonald at shooting guard, or vice versa.
There is also another—albeit less likely—option that could be thrown into the mix. If McAdoo adds some range to his preferred face-up game, he could slide into the small forward slot. That would give Williams the opportunity to start Brice Johnson, Isaiah Hicks or even Kennedy Meeks at the 4.
That may sound odd, but if Joel James and Desmond Hubert can establish themselves as true centers, they will be the best options to play the 5. And as good as I expect at least Johnson and Hicks to be next season, Coach Williams will want to find a way to get them in the game.
This won't be the first time he got creative with the lineup—that was last year. Perhaps Roy Williams and staff will have something else up their sleeves.
No matter how it all goes down, the offseason will be filled with storylines that will help us gauge the potential of the 2013-14 Tar Heels and help us get through these next six months without the boys in blue.