This Saturday, Floyd Mayweather, the best—or certainly most famous—boxer in the world will look to add another line item to his Hall of Fame resume when he tangles with Robert "Ghost" Guerrero.
Mayweather (43-0) is 36 and no longer in his prime. He has an unprecedented and unequaled blend of attributes and accomplishments, but his age is not inconsequential when you have a game predicated on speed and quickness.
Guerrero (31-1-1) is 30 and at the height of his powers. He hits hard, he's aggressive, he's tough and he's fast. He also knows how to dirty it up and outmuscle his opponents.
With a young buck breathing down his neck, is Mayweather ripe for an upset? Is Guerrero poised to play Timothy Bradley to Mayweather's Manny Pacquiao? No. No, none of that is going to happen.
But you know what? I still think this has the makings of a shocking event for the world of combat sports.
Guerrero has the skills to stop Mayweather. However, having the skill to beat him and then actually doing it is the difference between having a box full of tools and building your own house. Luck is a factor, and that always seems to favor Mayweather.
So the upset won't quite happen, but his effort will be the proverbial camel's nose under the tent, pointing the way toward the great secret behind beating a fighter who, to this point, has confounded every challenger to step into his ring.
How will Guerrero do it? By keeping chest to chest with Mayweather. Pushing him around and tying him up. Staying in his face and sending power through the wickets at opportune times. Mayweather, even with his defensive brilliance, won't escape this one unscathed.
Mayweather will ultimately adjust his proverbial sails and use his defense, counters and pure athletic endurance to outpoint Guerrero. A finish won't happen, though, and the decision won't be cleanly unanimous.
Guerrero will get closer to confounding the kingpin than anyone else has.
When you're talking about the best fighter in the world, that's more than enough to surprise some folks and make a name for yourself. Robert Guerrero, even in a loss, will do both Saturday night.
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