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Orb has been training sharply
Strengths: Pedigree; peaking at the right time; should excel on off track
Weaknesses: Tendency to get washed out in the post parade
Outlook: Orb has everything going for him. He is trained by one of the most respected men in the business, won a marquee prep race and has the pedigree to handle the grueling Derby distance of 1 1/4 miles. Though this crop of sophomores is not an incredibly fast bunch, he has a running style to be very effective and should get an honest pace to shoot at from off the pace.
It has been over a decade since his heralded trainer, Claude “Shug” McGaughey, saddled a horse in the Kentucky Derby, and this conservative horseman only will send a horse he thinks has a huge chance at taking home the big prize.
The only concern with him is that he has proven to be a handful in the paddock and post parade, and those behaviors can be exacerbated by the epic crowds on Derby Day.
The possibility of an off track does change the complexity of the race, and this is one colt who is bred up and down to handle sloppy going.