UFC 159 will see Jon Jones defend his UFC light heavyweight crown for the fifth time. A win will tie him with Tito Ortiz for the most defenses of that particular title.
And he will win. Most likely, he will do so in devastating fashion.
As much as fans and media love Chael Sonnen's pre-fight hype game, it does not make him a credible contender for Jones. Jones is one of the best in the world regardless of weight and the absolute best in this weight class. He is head and shoulders above everyone else.
Jones is not going to lose this fight.
Here are five reasons Jones will run through Sonnen this Saturday.
Jones has the longest reach in the UFC, and that is not calculating in his legs. He is a tall, rangy fighter.
That will create a host of problems for Sonnen, who loves to pressure fighters.
The champion has consistently worked on improving his all-around game, and we may see him utilize his length more than ever against Sonnen. He can establish his jab and keep Sonnen on the outside. It will virtually make Sonnen a sitting duck.
Jones has used his long legs to kick his opponents in cringe-inducing fashion. He has a nasty sidekick to the thigh.
Sonnen likes to fight inside, but it will be hard to get there against Jones. The length is going to be a big problem for the challenger.
I touched upon Jones' length in the previous slide, but overall, Jones is a much better striker than Sonnen.
He has more diversity in his game.
Sonnen will have to defend punches, kicks, knees and elbows against Jones. The biggest worry for opponents of Jones is trying to figure out what he is going to hit you with. He is creative in his attacks, and that assists him in slipping strikes past a fighter's defense.
The challenger is much more boxing oriented in his attack. We saw what happened when he tried to get creative at UFC 148 against Anderson Silva. The spinning-backfist attempt made him slip and fall. He is a wrestler who uses his strikes to close the distance.
Jones uses his strikes to finish.
We have seen the champion tap Vitor Belfort, Ryan Bader and choke Lyoto Machida unconscious. That's a list that no one else has. His submission game is underrated.
Sonnen's submission offense is rarely seen. Outside of the submission victory against Brian Stann, we have not seen him go for many. And his defense has long been a talking point of his career. He is susceptible to jiu-jitsu.
Offensively and defensively, this is not a great style for Sonnen.
Jones' length will also assist him in the submission department should he chose to go that route. He can finish Sonnen from a variety of positions if the opportunity comes along. But we will have to see if he wants to tap out the challenger or punish him.
The 25-year-old is simply too athletic for Sonnen.
Plain and simple, this is the new breed of fighter. Hard work beats talent when talent refuses to work hard. But in this case, the talent is among the hardest working in the sport. It is what makes him so very scary.
Sonnen's path to victory may be concealing some doctored wraps in his glove because there is not many outs against Jones. Sonnen is outclassed in virtually every single area. This is one of the biggest mismatches in UFC championship history.
Sonnen is a top-flight fighter at 185 pounds, but he is not in Jones' class at 205. It is a different ballgame.
I have touched on many of the problems for Sonnen already, but the biggest reason he will lose is that his wrestling will not be effective against Jones. This is a horrendous matchup for the challenger.
Jones may only be a junior college All-Amercian, but he has translated his Greco-Roman wrestling game in to the Octagon very well. Sonnen's fast shot will not help him against Jones, and when they are close, it will be Jones who tosses Sonnen around like a rag doll.
Tosses, throws and trips will put Sonnen on his back with Jones asserting his dominance over him.
If there was one fighter in the UFC who is the absolute worst matchup for Sonnen, it is Jon Jones.
Sonnen is coming to New Jersey to collect a big paycheck. Any title hopes he may realistically think he has are not there. Jones is a lock to retain the championship, and he will make Sonnen look terrible in the process.