NCAA Tournament 2013: Vegas Odds and Gambling Guide for Louisville vs. Michigan

Alex KayCorrespondent IApril 7, 2013

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 06:  (L-R) Jordan Morgan #52, Jon Horford #15 and Mitch McGary #4 of the Michigan Wolverines celerate on court after they won 61-56 against the Syracuse Orange during the 2013 NCAA Men's Final Four Semifinal at the Georgia Dome on April 6, 2013 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

March Madness is all set to come to a thrilling conclusion on Monday evening, as the No. 1-seeded Louisville Cardinals take on the No. 4 Michigan Wolverines in the national championship.

While this game may not be as exciting for gamblers as the opening rounds were—when action could be had for entire weekends straight—many bettors are still going to put a wager down on the outcome of this much-anticipated contest.

If you are looking for some advice on how to bet this final college matchup of the 2012-13 season and be in good position to finish the year a winner, keep reading. We have you covered with the latest spread and point total with advice for each.

Point spreads and lines courtesy of


Spread: Louisville (-4) over Michigan

Vegas opened this line with the Cardinals as a 3.5-point favorite, but soon moved them to a four-point favorite, where this line could likely remain for some time.

These are fair odds for each side, but we believe that one team simply has the better value and could pay dividends with the right bet.

We’re leaning towards Michigan plus-4, and possibly even playing the Wolverines on the moneyline. UM has faced some of the toughest competition in the tourney, including a showdown against arguably the best defense in the nation (Syracuse) in the Final Four.

In each of their five contests thus far, the Maize and Blue have prevailed. This team has too many weapons, and new guys continue to step up. Against the Orange, big man Mitch McGary took over and dominated the paint to help the Wolverines to this game.

Prior to that, Nik Stauskas shot them past Florida in the Elite Eight, Trey Burke’s heroics helped them into overtime and to victory against Kansas in the Sweet 16, while Glenn Robinson III and Tim Hardaway Jr. have been instrumental throughout the tourney.

While the Louisville defense will provide a unique challenge for this young group, we think that the Wolverines get it done and are crowned champs.

Pick: Michigan +4


Over/Under: 138

Take the over on Monday night.

Both teams are highly capable of lighting it up from anywhere on the floor, and this one should be a barnburner.

Because of the amount of athletes and talent that each side possesses, there’s just no telling how many points could be scored.

UL has an elite bucket-generator in Russ Smith, a perfect point guard in Peyton Siva and a dominant big man in Gorgui Dieng. There’s also Luke Hancock off the Cardinals bench, who came in to score 20 points, grab four rebounds, dish two assists and pick up two steals against Wichita State in a close Final Four battle.

Given the fact that these guys will be going up against a defensively lacking Michigan squad, we believe that it will be nothing but run-and-gun basketball in the national championship.

While we think UM has the better scorers and will do what it takes to claim the school’s second championship, Louisville will give the Wolverines fits and keep things interesting in a high-scoring contest.

Pick: Over 138