According to head coach John Calipari of the Kentucky Wildcats, shooting guard Archie Goodwin will declare for the 2013 NBA draft. Goodwin just completed his freshman season at Kentucky and continued a trend of one-and-done players.
To put it simply, this was the only rational option for Goodwin to execute.
Per Calipari, Goodwin will enter the draft but has not yet signed with an agent. Until he does, Goodwin will be eligible to return to Kentucky should that be an option worth exploring at a future date.
In Calipari's eyes, Goodwin is in position for greatness.
Although I really wanted Archie to return for his sophomore season, I fully support him choosing to pursue his dreams," Calipari said in the school's press release. "He has the drive and desire to be great and I will continue to do everything I can to make sure he succeeds in life both on and off the court.
Those are powerful words from the man who has coached the likes of Derrick Rose, Tyreke Evans and Anthony Davis.
Incoming Recruiting Class
For the umpteenth season, the Kentucky Wildcats have landed an elite recruiting class. At the heart of that class is a perimeter group consisting of No. 1 point guard Andrew Harrison, No. 1 shooting guard Aaron Harrison and No. 3 small forward James Young.
Was Archie Goodwin right for entering the 2013 NBA Draft?
To put it simply, there is minimal room for Goodwin to receive playing time.
The Harrison Twins are often billed as a package deal, which suggests they will both start in 2013-14. Even if they don't, next year's class is built in such a manner that Goodwin would receive minimal individual attention.
Between Julius Randle, the Harrison's, Young, Dakari Johnson and Marcus Lee, the Wildcats are likely to put out a stacked draft class.
Goodwin has the ability to deserve a starting role and a high draft choice. With that being said, his level of exposure will be no better in 2013-14 than it has been in 2012-13.
Get out while the field is limited.
Opportunity at the 2
As we approach the 2013 NBA draft, there is a relatively deep class of shooting guards. With Ben McLemore of Kansas, Victor Oladipo of Indiana and Gary Harris of Michigan State all as top 10 prospects, Archie Goodwin could fall down draft boards due to supply and demand.
Just don't overvalue the rest of the group.
C.J. McCollum of the Lehigh Mountain Hawks is a high-quality prospect, but he's also 6'3" and coming off of a season-ending injury. Jamaal Franklin, meanwhile, is an elite athlete but a poor shooter at 28.0 percent from beyond the arc.
Goodwin, meanwhile, is of similar size to Franklin with a 6'10" wingspan and powerful slashing abilities.
This breeds the opportunity for Goodwin to become a lottery pick once the chips begin to fall into place. With a solid performance at scouting exhibitions, that's a legitimate possibility.
In 2014, however, Goodwin could have trouble reaching that plateau—no matter how deserving he may be.