I have supported the scarlet red cars for years but this is the first time in a very long time that the Italian team seems to be lagging so far behind the leaders.
In the past, no matter how dire the situation like in 2005, Ferrari would always be able to score points. Thus, why do I believe there is hope even in such dire circumstances? The signs are clear that their fortunes will change.
Reshuffle of staff
To do the same thing and expect a different result is insanity. Ferrari must have realised that and have decided to reshuffle their pit wall. I believe with this reshuffle, the team would not be making anymore 'silly' or 'excessive' risk. I believe this to be the most vital step as the Malaysia GP should have been a point scoring weekend if it was not for some badly timed decisions.
Since we are at this matter, it is my opinion that the team should also consider changing their top management and drivers for people with more hunger and consistency (e.g. Alonso).
Discounting the Diffuser Three gang, have you noticed that the grid actually has two tiers in performance? The top tier belongs cars with no KERS while those running with KERS are lagging behind. This claim is easily substantiated by the BMW Sauber cars where, Kubica (without KERS) always seems to have the edge on Heidfeld (with KERS)?
Ferrari's decision not to run KERS in China should pay handsomely. The current KERS package is just too heavy and the servery limited performance of only 6.6 seconds per lap is more of a liability to Raikkonen and Massa. I expect the improvement in performance would be significant as both Vettel and Kubica has shown their cars to be pretty competitive with the Diffuser Three gang.
I am confident of a podium finish and maybe a race victory in Shanghai.
Rivals will falter
Everyone else would love Brawn GP to win the title this season and continue this fairy tale. But reality is that their lack of funding will be the end of that dream. Unless someone from the Middle East decides to but over Brawn GP (think Manchester City), the funds will dry up and so will the innovation. With every other team (like Ferrari) going to copy and improve on the BGP001, race victories may be hard to come by.
With the vast resources of Ferrari, I believe the team would be back at the front of the grid within the next few races.