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March Madness 2013 Bracket Predictions: Teams Sure to Be over-Seeded

FAYETTEVILLE, AR - FEBRUARY 5:  Head Coach Billy Donovan talks with Michael Frazier II #20 and Mike Rosario #3 of the Florida Gators during a game against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Bud Walton Arena on February 5, 2013 in Fayetteville, Arkansas.  The Razorbacks defeated the Gators 80-69.  (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images
Josh BenjaminCorrespondent IMarch 16, 2013

Teams get a higher seed than they deserve every March Madness, and this year's tournament is sure to be no exception. Certain teams will surely be high seeds, but to say that they'll have earned it is debatable.

Be it due to an easy schedule, conference or just luck, some squads get seeded too high. It just happens.

Sure enough, when said teams get upset in the big dance, everyone gets surprised. Then again, is that reaction really warranted?

The fact is that no matter how you look at it, there are teams in this year's pool that won't deserve the high seed they will ultimately get on Selection Sunday. Only a few stand out, but the reasons why they don't deserve a high seeding are obvious.

 

Kansas State

Nothing against the Wildcats, but its competition in the Big 12 wasn't exactly top-notch. Save for Kansas and Oklahoma State, the rest of the pack is fairly weak.

Just the same, the team is No. 11 in the latest AP ranking and No. 21 in the RPI rankings, and went 25-6 overall this season.

That still doesn't take away from the fact that Kansas State had just two signature wins this season, one against Florida on Dec. 22 and another against Oklahoma State on Jan. 15. The win over the Cowboys is impressive, but Florida was the best team in a weak SEC this season.

Thus, though the Wildcats may seem like a team deserving of a high seeding, there are other teams like Memphis and VCU that arguably deserve one more.

 

Florida

Billy Donovan's Gators is a team that will always be fun to watch, but it is surely going to be over-seeded on Sunday. Though No. 8 in both the AP and RPI rankings, its SEC conference was extremely weak this season and devoid of any top competition.

That isn't to say that Florida is a bad team by any means. It ranks ninth in the nation in field goal percentage, and is a legitimately talented squad.

It's just that compared to other highly ranked teams like Indiana, Georgetown and the like, the Gators' march to the top of the SEC wasn't exactly difficult. It is going to get a high seeding in the big dance, but they'll need to really go on a long run in order to prove that it were indeed deserving of it.

 

Gonzaga

Yes, the Bulldogs took the nation by storm this season and their regular blowouts were incredibly fun to watch, but the team does not deserve its No. 1 AP ranking at all.

Not only does Gonzaga play in the incredibly easy West Coast Conference, but the team has zero signature wins.

That isn't to say that the Bulldogs are completely undeserving of a high seeding. It ranks 13th in the nation in scoring and third in field goal percentage. Easy conference aside, the team played some incredible basketball down the stretch and is a strong cohesive unit.

It's just that compared to other top teams from tougher conferences like Michigan and Duke, to say that Gonzaga deserves to be a No. 1 seed is a bit of a stretch. It's almost definitely going to happen, but it's hard to argue that it isn't a mistake.

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