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2013 March Madness Bubble Watch: Latest Odds on Fringe Teams for Week of Mar. 4

Tim KeeneyContributor IJune 2, 2016

2013 March Madness Bubble Watch: Latest Odds on Fringe Teams for Week of Mar. 4

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    Let the Madness begin.

    March is officially here, and as such, the NCAA tournament picture is beginning to clear up with many teams "clinching" their spots in the Big Dance, and many, well, clinching their spots in the NIT and CBI. 

    That being said, with conference tournaments just around the corner, every school still has at least a sliver of hope, and there are still plenty of unforeseen twists and turns ahead on the bracketology horizon. 

    Let's take a look at where every tourney hopeful sits as the final week of the regular season gets underway. 

    Note: All RPI and strength of schedule numbers come from BBState.com. Those numbers will vary slightly depending on where you look.

    Also note: All stats and numbers are from games up until March 5. 

Big Ten

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    Big East

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      *Connecticut is ineligible for postseason play. 


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      Arizona Wildcats

      Oregon Ducks



      California Golden Bears


      Colorado Buffaloes

      The Buffs have solid computer numbers (RPI 27, SOS 19), but just 19 wins overall and nine in the Pac-12. While they should be safe, a good showing at home against the Oregon schools this week will be key. 



      Arizona State Sun Devils

      The dream of seeing Jahii Carson on the biggest of stages appears to be over. The Sun Devils have lost three in a row and dropped to 93 in the RPI. 


      The Rest (alphabetical order)

      Oregon State Beavers

      Stanford Cardinal

      USC Trojans

      Utah Utes

      Washington Huskies

      Washington State Cougars


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      Duke Blue Devils

      Miami Hurricanes

      North Carolina Tar Heels

      North Carolina State Wolfpack



      No one



      Maryland Terrapins

      The Terps are currently outside the bubble, but they can still help themselves against North Carolina and at Virginia. 


      Virginia Cavaliers

      The Cavaliers remains the biggest question mark of the tournament. 

      They are 7-2 against the top 100 and now boast a win against No. 1 Duke, but they are also just 13-7 against teams outside the top 100, which includes a loss against No. 316 Old Dominion. 

      Still, with the softness of this year's bubble, it would be difficult to keep a team with Virginia's potential out. 


      The Rest (alphabetical order)

      Boston College Eagles

      Clemson Tigers

      Florida State Seminoles

      Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

      Virginia Tech Hokies

      Wake Forest Demon Deacons

    Big 12

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      Kansas Jayhawks

      Kansas State Wildcats

      Oklahoma State Cowboys



      Oklahoma Sooners

      The Sooners slipped up against Texas, but responded with a win over Iowa State and are still safe assuming they beat West Virginia and TCU to close out the regular season. 



      Baylor Bears

      The Bears aren't making it easy for themselves. They let an opportunity for a huge win against Kansas State slip away with a crushing late-game mistake and followed it up with a loss to Texas. 

      It's time to beat Kansas at home. 


      Iowa State Cyclones

      The Cyclones have lost two in a row and desperately need to beat Oklahoma State at home on Wednesday. 


      The Rest (alphabetical order)

      West Virginia Mountaineers 

      Texas Longhorns

      TCU Horned Frogs

      Texas Tech Red Raiders


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      Florida Gators



      Missouri Tigers

      Missouri's resume isn't anything special, but it's good enough to push the Tigers into the Big Dance.  



      Kentucky Wildcats

      The Wildcats are now 3-2 without Nerlens Noel, but two of the losses were a 30-point beating at Tennessee and a defeat at Arkansas, their worst of the season in terms of RPI. 

      Nevertheless, John Calipari's squad is in with a win over Florida on Saturday. 


      Ole Miss Rebels

      Ole Miss is slowly moving to the wrong side of the bubble. The Rebels' loss at Mississippi State (RPI 229) was disastrous. 


      Alabama Crimson Tide

      The Crimson Tide are quietly 11-5 in the SEC, but after losing to Florida, they don't have a signature win. 

      Two more wins against Mississippi and Georiga, along with a couple in the SEC tourney, should do the trick for the Tide. 


      The Rest (alphabetical order)

      Arkansas Razorbacks

      Auburn Tigers

      Georgia Bulldogs

      LSU Tigers

      Mississippi State Bulldogs

      South Carolina Gamecocks

      Texas A&M Aggies

      Tennessee Volunteers

      Vanderbilt Commodores

    The Rest

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      Butler Bulldogs

      Colorado State Rams

      Gonzaga Bulldogs

      Memphis Tigers

      New Mexico Lobos

      Saint Louis Billikens

      San Diego State Aztecs

      UNLV Rebels

      VCU Rams



      Creighton Bluejays

      St. Mary's Gaels

      Wichita State Shockers



      Akron Zips

      Belmont Bruins

      Boise State Broncos

      La Salle Explorers

      Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

      Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

      Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

      Temple Owls

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