Neither Yushin Okami nor Hector Lombard is going to light opponents up with a high volume of punches. The middleweights both land around 40 percent of their strikes attempted, but that has a lot to do with the fact that they use probing punches to set up the clinch or power shots.
Aside from his jab, almost all of Okami's strikes are used as a means to an end, which is his takedown.
Conversely, Lombard will throw a number of strikes to get his opponent backing up so that he can land one finishing blow.
We saw that type of attack work against Okami before when Tim Boetsch went head-hunting in the third round of his bout with the Japanese middleweight. If Lombard is aggressive in this matchup, he should be able to overwhelm Okami early.
While Okami and Lombard are both solid on top with their judo backgrounds, neither is especially known for using to ground-and-pound to seal victory frequently.
Once he takes opponents down, Okami is methodical and wary of sacrificing position in order to throw bombs or attack for submissions.
Lombard, meanwhile, will score points with takedowns, but he really prefers to fight on his feet for the most part—often allowing opponents to stand after taking them to the ground.
Prior to his back-to-back knockout losses to Anderson Silva and Tim Boetsch, Okami had never really shown signs of having a weak chin. However, just about anyone who gets hit cleanly by Lombard is going to have trouble staying on their feet.
Lombard has never been stopped and finished seven of his eight Bellator opponents with strikes. If anyone is going to stop this fight with their fists, it'll be the former Bellator champion.
Overall Striking Edge: Lombard