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The most discouraging, but significant prediction is that Chapman won’t see the postseason in 2013.
The Reds have only bolstered their lineup with the addition of Shin-Soo Choo, which should inherit more runs per game. A successful transition for Chapman to the rotation will make the Reds starting five one of the best in the league.
If the Reds recreate anything close to their 2012 season, it will insure another postseason appearance.
However, with Chapman on an innings limit, he’ll be in the dugout through October much like Stephen Strasburg spent in 2012.
It won't be easy for Redleg Nation, since Chapman’s conversion comes on a year the Reds look the most promising. But the club will not take the risk on wearing out his arm.
The Reds are poised to have a bright future through the next few seasons and the club will not risk permanent injury on someone who is so valuable.