With less than three weeks until Selection Sunday, by my estimation 22 teams are fighting for the final 11 spots in the tournament.
I like to break teams down into three categories:
1. Wallflowers are bubble teams, because everyone wants to get into the Big Dance, but not all of them have the guts to ask a girl out onto the dance floor.
2. An elite team that is safely in the field is "Dancing with a Hottie."
3. A school in the middle is "Dancing with Its Sister."
For two of the past three years, my final bracket projections have been more accurate than those of ESPN's Joe Lunardi, and I had the most accurate projections in the country in 2011.
I'll begin with the two First Four at-large-bid games:
(12a) Tennessee vs. (12d) Iowa State
(12b) Kentucky vs. (12c) UMass
First 11 Teams Out: Southern Miss, Charlotte, Virginia, Maryland, St. Mary's, Alabama, BYU, Baylor, Ole Miss, Arizona State, St. John's
The projections are presented in slideshow format, with each major conference receiving its own slide.
First up is the ACC.