Friday's Fearless Horse Racing Release

Bobby SmithContributor IApril 9, 2009

LIVERPOOL, UNITED KINGDOM - APRIL 04:  Three riderless horses, Black Appalachi (L), Cloudy Lane and Himalayan Trail lead at the 4th last during the John Smiths Grand National at intree racecourse on April 4, 2009 in Liverpool, England.  (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)



Gulfstream Park: Race Three

Type: Four-year-olds and up

Class: $10,000 Claiming

Condition: Non-winners of three races lifetime

Distance: 1-1/8 Miles
Surface: Dirt
Owner/Trainer: Gary Ostensen

Horse: Wild Icarus

People thought I was crazy last Friday for picking a 28-1 shot named A.P. Jewel at Turfway Park in a Two-Mile race with a field of seven. Maybe I was. Crazy like a fox! A.P. Jewel finished second by a nose. The place payoff on A.P. Jewel was larger than the payoff on the winner.


#      Horse                           Jockey        Win        Place        Show

1      Scorpion Go North        Lopez K        $18.20        7.00        3.60

6      A. P. Jewel                  Quinonez B                 $19.60       6.20

2      Love Dubai                    Pompell T L                                     $2.10

$2   Exacta  (1-6)  Paid $237.80


A simple $2 exacta wheel--six $2 combinations with A.P. Jewel first and another six with A.P. Jewel second—cost $24. The exacta payoff was $237.80.


In this day and age, where else can you find an investment bargain that earns 10 times your investment in a couple of minutes—without eventually going to jail for it? Why did A.P. Jewel, who had lost his last three races by 42 lengths combined, look so good?


Well, the main reason he looked so good was because he looked so bad. He had been set up to lose by that much to inflate the price for last Friday, when he was the oldest horse (age six, with all the others age four) in the longest race.


The older the horse, the greater the physical maturity and the greater the capacity to stay the distance. The trainer of A.P. Jewel was also the owner.


He could afford to keep losing with him to set up a serious effort at big odds, because there was nobody above him to report to! When trainers train horses they do not own, they almost always have to work it out in the mornings on schedule, and send it out to race with the intent to win.


The owner wouldn’t have it any other way. But as the owner, the trainer is the boss. He can take his sweet time at his own pace, and work his way into the kind of payday he prefers by careful plotting and manipulation.


So, let’s stay with a long race this Friday, third race at Gulfstream Park, and the same basic guidelines that existed with A.P. Jewel:


  • Oldest horse in the long race. Wild Icarus is a 6-year-old who raced in one-turn race last time, but gets two turns and the ground-saving Post Two today.
  • His races are his workouts (just one listed workout this year, in late January). The trainer is part owner, and he also bred the thing.
  • Once again, it’s one for the everyday everyman, the trainer/owner, the little guy with his own money invested, which is what people need to learn is what really drives Thoroughbred horse racing, not the Triple Crown or the Breeders’ Cup.


Come on with this WILD ICARUS, the No. 2 horse!