UFC 156 Fight Card: Last-Minute Odds and Predictions for Main-Card Action

Alex BallentineFeatured ColumnistFebruary 2, 2013

Dec. 30, 2011; Las Vegas, NV, USA; UFC fighter Alistair Overeem during a heavyweight bout at UFC 141 at the MGM Grand Garden event center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The UFC 156 main card figures to be one of the best cards in recent memory. 

The pay-per-view portion of the evening features five awesome fights that will have a huge impact on their respective divisions. With all of the star power present on this card, plenty of people are sure to make friendly wagers on the action. 

If you're looking to make some last minute picks, you've come to the right place. Here are the latest odds from Bovada along with predictions for each fight. 


Ian McCall (+195) vs. Joseph Benavidez (-235)

Benavidez is a somewhat heavy favorite here as he is the slightly larger guy and has experienced plenty of success at 135 before dropping to 125. 

However, there's good value on McCall as an underdog. His first bout with current flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson went to a draw, and the rematch was close despite Uncle Creepy picking up the loss. 

This one should be extremely close and will most likely head to a decision.

Prediction: Benavidez by Decision


Jon Fitch (-225) vs. Demian Maia (+175)

This is a classic wrestling vs. jiu-jitsu battle, and Vegas likes the wrestler in this case.

Fitch is still one of the best welterweights in the world, and his victory over Erick Silva showed he may be shedding his boring label. Maia is one of the best jiu-jitsu players in the UFC and will force Fitch to remain active throughout the fight.

If Fitch remains active and looks to finish the fight, he'll come out on top. If he employs some "lay and pray" he's going to get submitted. Expect a busy Fitch to grind down Maia and win a back-and-forth bout.

Prediction: Fitch by Decision


Alistair Overeem (-450) vs. Antonio Silva (+325)

The Reem comes back to the Octagon after more than a year outside the ring with a title shot waiting for him if he gets past Silva.

Bigfoot has the power to test any weakness that Overeem may have when it comes to absorbing punishment, but he also has to be prepared for Overeem's power. 

The expectation is that Overeem will end this fight early, and that's reflected in the latest odds. Unless you really don't believe in Overeem's chin, this will probably be over early. The hype for Cain Velasquez vs. Overeem can begin.

Prediction: Overeem by KO/TKO


Rashad Evans (-550) vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (+375)

After losing his title shot against Jon Jones, Evans cannot afford to drop a second fight in a row. 

There's a possibility he might head down a weight class to take on Anderson Silva, but that has to start with a win over Nogueira. Wrestlers like Ryan Bader and Phil Davis were able to handle Little Nog fairly easily, and Evans is better than both of those fighters. 

Little Nog doesn't have the submission skills of Big Nog. Evans should consistently beat Nogueira to the punch and earn the late-round stoppage. 

Prediction: Evans by KO/TKO


Jose Aldo (-170) vs. Frankie Edgar (+140)

This is going to be a great fight, and the odds are more even than any other fight on the card. 

Aldo is the slight favorite for obvious reasons—no one has been able to figure him out, and he's one of the most dominant fighters in the sport. However, no one plays the underdog role better than Frankie Edgar, who won't lie down simply because he isn't the favorite. 

Edgar is unlike anyone else whom Aldo has faced, and we should see the champion taken to the limit. This will be a razor-thin decision—don't be surprised if it sets up a rematch.

Prediction: Edgar by Decision