College Fantasy Football: Debating the 2009 No. 1 Draft Pick

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College Fantasy Football: Debating the 2009 No. 1 Draft Pick
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There may be 160 more days until the college football season kicks off, but it's never too early for some healthy college fantasy football debate.

 

Today's topic:  Who should be your No. 1 overall draft pick? 

We consulted CollegeFootballGeek.com's early preseason draft boards (below) to help us narrow down the contestants into a final grouping.

Quarterback Rankings

Running Back Rankings

Wide Receiver Rankings


This analysis is broken down into two camps: the All-120 leagues (includes a player pool of all 120 Division I schools), and the BCS-only leagues (BCS conference schools only).

 

All-120 Leagues

Cast of Characters

Case Keenum (QB, Houston)
MiQuale Lewis (RB, Ball State)
James Starks (RB, Buffalo)
LaGarrette Blount (RB, Oregon)
Dez Bryant (WR, Oklahoma State)

 

What’s the scoop?

Keenum and Bryant are consensus top picks at their positions.  In our view, the top running back position is currently up for debate between Lewis, Starks and Blount

Conventional fantasy wisdom is to grab a running back in the top spot and build from there. The perception is that wide receivers are too inconsistent to warrant the top honor, and quarterback depth is strong enough that you can find quality options later (in All-120 leagues).

True workhorse running backs, on the other hand, are tough to find. 

However, when you have a statistical monster like Keenum in the mix, it puts these theories to the test.


If your fantasy draft was today (Mar. 27, '09)...

The first thing we would do is eliminate Dez Bryant from consideration. While he is a great fantasy wide receiver, he is not on the level of a Michael Crabtree. With Dez out of the picture, your options are to grab the consensus No. 1 quarterback in Keenum, or take your pick from one of the stud running backs.

If your goal is to come out of the first two rounds with a combo of QB-RB, here are your possible scenarios:

1) Grab quarterback Keenum first, then select a running back from the likes of a Charles Scott/Jonathan Dwyer/John Clay

2) Grab your running back of choice first, then select a quarterback from the likes of Trevor Vittatoe/Zac Robinson/Todd Reesing

For us, the temptation of having Keenum in the lineup would be too great to pass up, especially in a year where Texas Tech and Tulsa are going through quarterback transitions. Keenum is a threat to throw for 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns. 

If our All-120 draft was today, we’d roll with Case Keenum.

BCS-Only Leagues

Cast of Characters

Colt McCoy (QB, Texas)
Tim Tebow (QB, Florida)
LaGarrette Blount (RB, Oregon)
Dez Bryant (WR, Oklahoma State)


What’s the scoop?

BCS-only leagues are a different animal.  The draft boards change dramatically, as does the depth at each position. 

With Keenum out of the quarterback mix, your choices at the position are Colt McCoy, Tim Tebow and Sam Bradford.  Over at running back, the No. 1 guy is probably LaGarrette Blount. And Dez Bryant remains the top wide receiver prospect.

It’s splitting hairs, but we like McCoy over the other two signal-callers by the slimmest of margins.  So if quarterback is your fancy, go with Colt.

Your decision boils down to McCoy, Blount or Bryant.


If your fantasy draft was today (Mar. 27, '09)...

As we did in the All-120 league, we’d begin the whittling down process by scratching Bryant from the list.

How do we decide between McCoy and Blount?

This is a toss up, and might come down to how well you know your opponents. 

If your league is traditionally RB-heavy in the first two rounds, start the run on the position by taking Blount.  A nice quarterback will be there for you on the back end. 

If your league is QB-heavy early on, go with McCoy and a nice running back will slide to you.

Based on the leagues we participate in, our pick in BCS-only leagues would be LaGarrette Blount.

 

Todd DeVries is the founder of CollegeFootballGeek.com, your premier resource for college fantasy football information. Check us out.

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