College Football Bowl Picks 2012: Predicting Stone-Cold BCS Bowl Locks

Alex KayCorrespondent IDecember 28, 2012

ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 01: Wide receiver Amari Cooper #9 of the Alabama Crimson Tide catches a fourth quarter touchdown pass in front of defensive back Damian Swann #5 of the Georgia Bulldogs during the SEC Championship Game at the Georgia Dome on December 1, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

This past month has been tough for big-time college football fans and gamblers.

With minor bowls littering the December landscape, fanatics and degenerates alike have been able to get their fix, but it’s nothing like the action that January will bring us—including all five BCS bowls.

These events are highly publicized and draw a ton of bettors, meaning it’s time for us to take a look at some major games and identify a few stone-cold locks against the spread.


Rose Bowl: Stanford -7 over Wisconsin

The Cardinal, who won the Pac-12, have drawn an extremely easy opponent in the Granddaddy of Them All—the Big Ten’s Badgers.

Wisconsin is extremely lucky to be here, having earned a B1G title game berth because of the postseason ineligibility of undefeated Ohio State and 8-4 Penn State. The school was fortunate to vanquish Nebraska, but will have a tough go against Stanford.

We fully expect the Cardinal to absolutely blow out the Badgers and use an all-around offensive assault, coupled with a stalwart defensive presence, to win this by 10 points or more.


Sugar Bowl: Florida -14 over Louisville

This matchup will feature the SEC’s Gators against the Big East’s Cardinals, and it promises to be as lopsided as it looks on paper.

Florida suffered one single loss in 2012—to the Georgia Bulldogs—which derailed its national title hopes, but that will not stop the players from giving their all in order to achieve postseason glory in the Sugar Bowl.

It won’t be much of a challenge against Louisville, a team that fell to lowly Syracuse and Connecticut in conference play matchups.

This is exactly why the Big East is losing its automatic qualification to BCS bowls in 2014.


BCS National Championship: Notre Dame +10 over Alabama

We are positive that the Crimson Tide are going to win their second straight national title, but we’re not so sure it will be by 10 or more points.

Since this game features two elite defenses going head to head on the biggest stage, it would be wise to take the points and go with the Fighting Irish if you are a betting man or woman.

It’s going to be a knock-down, drag-out fight between two of the best defensive units in the country and the victor will emerge by the narrowest of margins.