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Deal: Five years, $75.25 million
You've seen the statistics and read the cases.
You don't need me to tell you that B.J. Upton is an absolute enigma. He can put up a 30-30 season but can also lay an OBP under .300.
He can carry a team on his back, but he can also go through long stretches of offensive drought.
He is, however, a valuable commodity. The .298 OBP in 2012 was by and large an anomaly as he has a career rate of .336. Some pundits may write that Atlanta is paying for potential, but I disagree—Upton has historically been about a four Wins Above Replacement (WAR) player per year and is just entering his prime.
Upton is the biggest signing of the Braves offseason. Should he pull his enormous talent together, he could very well be the biggest signing of anyone's offseason.
And if he performs as he has in the past, he'll still be valuable.