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Louisville Vs Sienna Breakdown and ATS Winner NCAA Tournament Round 2

DAYTON, OH - MARCH 20: Earl Clark #5 of the Louisville Cardinals handles the ball against Leon Buchanan #33 of the Morehead State Eagles during the first round of the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament at the University of Dayton Arena on March 20, 2009 in Dayton, Ohio.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
ctsports picksAnalyst IMarch 22, 2009

What a great day of second round games yesterday! The Gonzoga finish will be one of those games replayed a millions times in years to come! Craig's free play lost, but his premium plays on CT Sports Picks were 4-0 yesterday. Come check out all of his top three College premium games for Sunday!

Today's video throwdown showdown play with Mitch from http://www.cbbplace.com is the Louisville vs Sienna second round matchup. This game will be won or lost based on Sienna's ability to handle the pressure of the Cardinals.
Most teams do a fairly good job of not turning the ball over for most of the game, but get worn down late and buckle with several key turnovers. Ask Morehead State how relentless the pressure can be in the second half. Louisville has four guards that all play about equal time, and each can cause havoc on defense.
Lets look at the trends and records of these two teams:

Team records:

  • Siena: 27-7 SU, 16-16 ATS
  • Louisville: 29-5 SU, 21-13 ATS

Trends:

  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Cardinals are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite.
  • Cardinals are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games overall.
  • Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Looks like the trends, and ATS records, point to the Sienna Saints, but I'm going to take Sienna +11.5.
I love the guards from Sienna, and they do have experience in last year's NCAA Tournament. The Cardinals will most likely pull away late, and win by a few, but Sienna has huge heart and will stick around late.
Earl Clark and Terrance Williams will be too much, but to make money in this matchup you have to take the points. Don't be fooled by the television people being all over Louisville's jock.  Score  LOU 78SIEN 72
Get all of Craig's Picks in just about all sports 365 days year and be sure to check out Craig's NCAA Tournament picks and specials at www.CTsportspicks.com

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