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2012 College Football Week 13 Picks: Ohio State over Michigan

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2012 College Football Week 13 Picks: Ohio State over Michigan
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If there were ever a poster child for the "what-ifs" that stalk athletes, franchises and programs, the 2012 Ohio State Buckeyes continue to make strides to take home top honors. No word on whether or not their postseason bowl ban prohibits them from accepting "What-if top honors," but let's assume that it does.

The poor off-the-field choices made by Terrelle Pryor, Jim Tressel and others in the past have handcuffed the Buckeyes' postseason aspirations this season. With that known, first-year head coach Urban Meyer and his team have one more game to go. Their unblemished 11-0 record would be all for not if they failed to beat Michigan, "that team up North," in their season finale. "The Game" is all that matters.

The Wolverines are also dealing with their own set of "what-ifs" as they look back at the 2012 campaign. Dreams of reaching the BCS National Championship were squashed when the Wolverines began the season 2-2. However, looking back, those two losses came against Notre Dame and Alabama, currently the No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the BCS rankings. Senior quarterback Denard Robinson and his supporters knew a Heisman Trophy was possible in 2012, but poor passing stats and injuries knocked him out of contention early.

The good news for the maize and blue is they still have a crack at a Big Ten Championship and an invitation to a BCS bowl. If the Wolverines beat Ohio State and Nebraska falls to Iowa, the Wolverines are going to the Big Ten title game. A Nebraska loss Friday also assures Michigan of at least a share of the division title. The Wolverines' only conference loss came to the Cornhuskers a month ago in Lincoln.

Michigan's offense (200 passing yards and 194 rushing yards per game) will be without starting running back Fitz Toussaint, who just had surgery on his leg following an injury in last Saturday's game against Iowa. It will be interesting to see if Brady Hoke continues to use Devin Gardner at quarterback with Denard Robinson, who is still dealing with a hand injury, at running back.

The Wolverines' defense remains inside the top 20 in points allowed at just 18.1 allowed per game. Michigan is 52nd against the rush (151.3 rush yards allowed per game), Ohio State's bread and butter on offense, but has only allowed eight rushing touchdowns this season.

The Buckeyes beat Nebraska 63-38 in a shootout at the "Shoe" back on October 6. As previously mentioned, the offense runs through Braxton Miller. Although he only averages 168 passing yards per game, he's rushed for over 1,200 yards on the ground with 5.9 yards per rush and 13 touchdowns. His tag-team partner in the rushing game, Carlos Hyde, has racked up 824 yards with 15 touchdowns.

Ohio State is 17th versus the rush, allowing 116.8 yards per game and 12 rushing touchdowns for the season.

We simulated the Wolverines and Buckeyes 101 times and it's Ohio State winning 63.4 percent of the time by an average score of 25-20.

College Football Week 13
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Maryland Terrapins 38.1 23 Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels 61.9 28  
Boston College Eagles 38.1 21 Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack 61.9 26  
Virginia Cavaliers 38.6 21 Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies 61.4 25  
South Carolina Gamecocks 42.6 22 Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers 57.4 24  
Florida Gators 49.5 20 Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles 50.5 21  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 56.9 29 Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils 43.1 27  
Vanderbilt Commodores 62.4 23 Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 37.6 20  
South Florida Bulls 28.7 20 Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats 71.3 27  
Connecticut Huskies 35.6 20 Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals 64.4 23  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 60.4 26 Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers 39.6 21  
Syracuse Orange 64.4 24 Boxscore
@ Temple Owls 35.6 21  
Illinois Fighting Illini 31.7 19 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 68.3 26  
Michigan Wolverines 36.6 20 Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes 63.4 25  
Wisconsin Badgers 42.6 20 Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions 57.4 23  
Indiana Hoosiers 44.6 26 Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers 55.4 27  
Nebraska Cornhuskers 63.4 26 Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes 36.6 22  
Michigan State Spartans 64.4 24 Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers 35.6 20  
Akron Zips 8.9 17 Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets 91.1 31  
Buffalo Bulls 42.1 21 Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons 57.9 25  
Ohio Bobcats 45.5 22 Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes 54.5 23  
Ball State Cardinals 63.4 29 Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks 36.6 25  
Northern Illinois Huskies 77.2 26 Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles 22.8 15  
Central Michigan Chippewas 78.2 28 Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen 21.8 18  
Arizona State Sun Devils 38.6 27 Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats 61.4 30  
Oregon Ducks 55.4 25 Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers 44.6 23  
Stanford Cardinal 58.9 23 Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins 41.1 22  
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 61.4 27 Boxscore
@ USC Trojans 38.6 21  
Utah Utes 64.9 24 Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes 35.1 19  
Washington Huskies 73.3 28 Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 26.7 21  
Auburn Tigers 6.9 14 Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide 93.1 29  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 24.8 19 Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs 75.2 29  
Missouri Tigers 26.7 18 Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies 73.3 26  
Kentucky Wildcats 35.6 18 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 64.4 23  
Mississippi State Bulldogs 59.4 23 Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels 40.6 21  
LSU Tigers 65.3 25 Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 34.7 17  
Idaho Vandals 12.9 18 Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies 87.1 31  
Texas State Bobcats 52.5 26 Boxscore
@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 47.5 25  
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 55.4 31 Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans 44.6 29  
Brigham Young Cougars 76.2 30 Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 23.8 18  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 42.6 28 Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears 57.4 30  
TCU Horned Frogs 46.5 22 Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns 53.5 23  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 47.5 24 Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners 52.5 26  
West Virginia Mountaineers 52.5 28 Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 47.5 27  
UAB Blazers 18.8 20 Boxscore
@ UCF Knights 81.2 32  
Tulane Green Wave 24.8 20 Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars 75.2 29  
Marshall Thundering Herd 41.6 24 Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates 58.4 26  
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 44.6 22 Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers 55.4 24  
Rice Owls 61.4 27 Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners 38.6 24  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 82.2 31 Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs 17.8 22  
Air Force Falcons 33.2 22 Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs 66.8 28  
New Mexico Lobos 47.0 22 Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams 53.0 23  
UNLV Rebels 60.4 22 Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors 39.6 20  
San Diego State Aztecs 69.3 28 Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys 30.7 21  
South Alabama Jaguars 18.3 19 Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 81.7 30  
North Texas Mean Green 36.6 22 Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 63.4 26  
Troy Trojans 43.6 29 Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 56.4 30  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 62.4 27 Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 37.6 21  

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

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